Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, secured her party’s nomination with 75 percent of the primary vote in March 2026 and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently rated the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district’s partisan lean, Budzinski’s prior 16-point margin in 2024, and limited Republican investment. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a competitive contest. A national Republican wave, major scandal, or unexpected shift in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-13 House Election Winner
$14,873 ปริมาณ
$14,873 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$14,873 ปริมาณ
$14,873 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Nikki Budzinski, the Democratic incumbent in Illinois’s 13th congressional district, secured her party’s nomination with 75 percent of the primary vote in March 2026 and enters the November general election against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ have consistently rated the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, citing the district’s partisan lean, Budzinski’s prior 16-point margin in 2024, and limited Republican investment. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent Democratic reflects these structural factors and the absence of recent polling or events suggesting a competitive contest. A national Republican wave, major scandal, or unexpected shift in voter turnout could narrow the gap, though no such developments have materialized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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