Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, cleared by the Supreme Court, reduced the 2nd District’s Black voting-age population share and shifted its partisan lean toward Republicans, creating the main structural advantage for GOP nominee Rhett Marques. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, then launched attacks on incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures’ voting record on taxes and other issues while gaining endorsements such as the NFIB. Recent polling shows a close race, with some Democratic surveys indicating a statistical tie, yet broader models rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican and project a modest GOP margin. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event, with trader pricing reflecting the district’s altered fundamentals and Republican organizational edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$58,741 ปริมาณ
$58,741 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
71%
Shomari Figures (D)
31%
$58,741 ปริมาณ
$58,741 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
$23,672 ปริมาณ
71%
Shomari Figures (D)
$35,069 ปริมาณ
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, cleared by the Supreme Court, reduced the 2nd District’s Black voting-age population share and shifted its partisan lean toward Republicans, creating the main structural advantage for GOP nominee Rhett Marques. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, then launched attacks on incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures’ voting record on taxes and other issues while gaining endorsements such as the NFIB. Recent polling shows a close race, with some Democratic surveys indicating a statistical tie, yet broader models rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican and project a modest GOP margin. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event, with trader pricing reflecting the district’s altered fundamentals and Republican organizational edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,741วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, cleared by the Supreme Court, reduced the 2nd District’s Black voting-age population share and shifted its partisan lean toward Republicans, creating the main structural advantage for GOP nominee Rhett Marques. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, then launched attacks on incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures’ voting record on taxes and other issues while gaining endorsements such as the NFIB. Recent polling shows a close race, with some Democratic surveys indicating a statistical tie, yet broader models rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican and project a modest GOP margin. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event, with trader pricing reflecting the district’s altered fundamentals and Republican organizational edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,741วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, cleared by the Supreme Court, reduced the 2nd District’s Black voting-age population share and shifted its partisan lean toward Republicans, creating the main structural advantage for GOP nominee Rhett Marques. Marques secured the Republican nomination in the August special primary with strong support from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, then launched attacks on incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures’ voting record on taxes and other issues while gaining endorsements such as the NFIB. Recent polling shows a close race, with some Democratic surveys indicating a statistical tie, yet broader models rate the contest Lean or Likely Republican and project a modest GOP margin. The November 3 general election remains the decisive event, with trader pricing reflecting the district’s altered fundamentals and Republican organizational edge.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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