Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings permitting Alabama to implement its 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map have shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican-leaning electorate for the November 2026 general election by substantially lowering the Black voting-age population share compared with the 2024 court remedial plan. This structural change has prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Solid Republican, a reversal from prior Democratic advantages, while Democrat Shomari Figures seeks reelection against Republican primary contenders on August 11. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans reflects these redistricting effects and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in the revised boundaries, though Democratic performance in the altered district remains a key variable ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$31,696 ปริมาณ
$31,696 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
27%
$31,696 ปริมาณ
$31,696 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,686 ปริมาณ
74%
Democratic Party
$14,010 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings permitting Alabama to implement its 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map have shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican-leaning electorate for the November 2026 general election by substantially lowering the Black voting-age population share compared with the 2024 court remedial plan. This structural change has prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Solid Republican, a reversal from prior Democratic advantages, while Democrat Shomari Figures seeks reelection against Republican primary contenders on August 11. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans reflects these redistricting effects and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in the revised boundaries, though Democratic performance in the altered district remains a key variable ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,696วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings permitting Alabama to implement its 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map have shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican-leaning electorate for the November 2026 general election by substantially lowering the Black voting-age population share compared with the 2024 court remedial plan. This structural change has prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Solid Republican, a reversal from prior Democratic advantages, while Democrat Shomari Figures seeks reelection against Republican primary contenders on August 11. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans reflects these redistricting effects and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in the revised boundaries, though Democratic performance in the altered district remains a key variable ahead of the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,696วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings permitting Alabama to implement its 2023 Republican-drawn congressional map have shifted Alabama's 2nd District toward a Republican-leaning electorate for the November 2026 general election by substantially lowering the Black voting-age population share compared with the 2024 court remedial plan. This structural change has prompted forecasters such as the Cook Political Report to rate the seat Solid Republican, a reversal from prior Democratic advantages, while Democrat Shomari Figures seeks reelection against Republican primary contenders on August 11. Trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans reflects these redistricting effects and historical voting patterns favoring the GOP in the revised boundaries, though Democratic performance in the altered district remains a key variable ahead of the general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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