Alabama's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Rep. Barry Moore's U.S. Senate bid, features a Cook PVI of R+27, cementing trader consensus on a Republican Party win at 93.5% implied probability. Recent GOP primary polls as of April 18 show former Rep. Jerry Carl leading a crowded field ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed with minimal fundraising or visibility. This heavily Republican district spanning the Wiregrass to Baldwin County delivered 78% for Moore in 2024. Realistic challenges include a scandal-tainted GOP nominee post-primary or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this safe Republican stronghold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$19,222 ปริมาณ
$19,222 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
5%
$19,222 ปริมาณ
$19,222 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,302 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$13,920 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Rep. Barry Moore's U.S. Senate bid, features a Cook PVI of R+27, cementing trader consensus on a Republican Party win at 93.5% implied probability. Recent GOP primary polls as of April 18 show former Rep. Jerry Carl leading a crowded field ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed with minimal fundraising or visibility. This heavily Republican district spanning the Wiregrass to Baldwin County delivered 78% for Moore in 2024. Realistic challenges include a scandal-tainted GOP nominee post-primary or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this safe Republican stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,222วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Rep. Barry Moore's U.S. Senate bid, features a Cook PVI of R+27, cementing trader consensus on a Republican Party win at 93.5% implied probability. Recent GOP primary polls as of April 18 show former Rep. Jerry Carl leading a crowded field ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed with minimal fundraising or visibility. This heavily Republican district spanning the Wiregrass to Baldwin County delivered 78% for Moore in 2024. Realistic challenges include a scandal-tainted GOP nominee post-primary or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this safe Republican stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,222วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Rep. Barry Moore's U.S. Senate bid, features a Cook PVI of R+27, cementing trader consensus on a Republican Party win at 93.5% implied probability. Recent GOP primary polls as of April 18 show former Rep. Jerry Carl leading a crowded field ahead of the May 19 primary and potential June 16 runoff, while Democrat Clyde Jones advanced unopposed with minimal fundraising or visibility. This heavily Republican district spanning the Wiregrass to Baldwin County delivered 78% for Moore in 2024. Realistic challenges include a scandal-tainted GOP nominee post-primary or a national Democratic midterm wave boosting turnout in this safe Republican stronghold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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