Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's established position in Arkansas's 1st congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The district has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including Crawford's 72.9% share in 2024, with all major nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, whose campaign has raised far less funding. Limited recent developments or polling shifts reinforce the status quo. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major personal or ethical issue affecting Crawford or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in rural and northeastern Arkansas counties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,556 ปริมาณ
$26,556 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
1%
$26,556 ปริมาณ
$26,556 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$16,297 ปริมาณ
96%
Democratic Party
$10,259 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's established position in Arkansas's 1st congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The district has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including Crawford's 72.9% share in 2024, with all major nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, whose campaign has raised far less funding. Limited recent developments or polling shifts reinforce the status quo. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major personal or ethical issue affecting Crawford or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in rural and northeastern Arkansas counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,556วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's established position in Arkansas's 1st congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The district has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including Crawford's 72.9% share in 2024, with all major nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, whose campaign has raised far less funding. Limited recent developments or polling shifts reinforce the status quo. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major personal or ethical issue affecting Crawford or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in rural and northeastern Arkansas counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,556วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford's established position in Arkansas's 1st congressional district drives the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. The district has delivered consistent Republican majorities, including Crawford's 72.9% share in 2024, with all major nonpartisan forecasters rating the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Primaries for both parties were canceled, leaving Crawford facing Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green, whose campaign has raised far less funding. Limited recent developments or polling shifts reinforce the status quo. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a major personal or ethical issue affecting Crawford or an unusually strong national Democratic performance that boosts turnout in rural and northeastern Arkansas counties.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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