Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary against a challenger, while Republican Eric Conroy advanced after winning his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district underwent mid-decade redistricting that added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting the underlying partisan lean toward Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this adjustment, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 75.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and performance in the prior cycle. The Republican Party sits at 47.5% amid the competitive nature of the November general election. Key upcoming factors include campaign messaging on affordability, crime, and immigration, with the race rated a toss-up by forecasters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-01 House Election Winner
OH-01 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$803 ปริมาณ
76%
Republican Party
$1,247 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary against a challenger, while Republican Eric Conroy advanced after winning his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district underwent mid-decade redistricting that added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting the underlying partisan lean toward Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this adjustment, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 75.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and performance in the prior cycle. The Republican Party sits at 47.5% amid the competitive nature of the November general election. Key upcoming factors include campaign messaging on affordability, crime, and immigration, with the race rated a toss-up by forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,050วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary against a challenger, while Republican Eric Conroy advanced after winning his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district underwent mid-decade redistricting that added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting the underlying partisan lean toward Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this adjustment, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 75.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and performance in the prior cycle. The Republican Party sits at 47.5% amid the competitive nature of the November general election. Key upcoming factors include campaign messaging on affordability, crime, and immigration, with the race rated a toss-up by forecasters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,050วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 5 primary against a challenger, while Republican Eric Conroy advanced after winning his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district underwent mid-decade redistricting that added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting the underlying partisan lean toward Republicans based on 2024 presidential results. Despite this adjustment, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 75.5% implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the incumbent's established fundraising edge, name recognition, and performance in the prior cycle. The Republican Party sits at 47.5% amid the competitive nature of the November general election. Key upcoming factors include campaign messaging on affordability, crime, and immigration, with the race rated a toss-up by forecasters.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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