Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89.1% implied probability of victory. Landsman secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary and leads Republican nominee Eric Conroy by roughly three points in the most recent available polling average. The Cincinnati-area seat was redrawn after the 2020 census to incorporate additional Republican-leaning territory in Warren and Clinton counties, yet Landsman has maintained a consistent edge in head-to-head surveys conducted after the primaries. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages alongside typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. Limited late-cycle movement in public surveys has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-01 House Election Winner
OH-01 House Election Winner
$20,822 ปริมาณ
$20,822 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$20,822 ปริมาณ
$20,822 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,912 ปริมาณ
89%
Republican Party
$6,910 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89.1% implied probability of victory. Landsman secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary and leads Republican nominee Eric Conroy by roughly three points in the most recent available polling average. The Cincinnati-area seat was redrawn after the 2020 census to incorporate additional Republican-leaning territory in Warren and Clinton counties, yet Landsman has maintained a consistent edge in head-to-head surveys conducted after the primaries. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages alongside typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. Limited late-cycle movement in public surveys has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,822วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89.1% implied probability of victory. Landsman secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary and leads Republican nominee Eric Conroy by roughly three points in the most recent available polling average. The Cincinnati-area seat was redrawn after the 2020 census to incorporate additional Republican-leaning territory in Warren and Clinton counties, yet Landsman has maintained a consistent edge in head-to-head surveys conducted after the primaries. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages alongside typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. Limited late-cycle movement in public surveys has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,822วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a commanding position in Ohio’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, with traders assigning the Democratic Party an 89.1% implied probability of victory. Landsman secured his party’s nomination in the May 5 primary and leads Republican nominee Eric Conroy by roughly three points in the most recent available polling average. The Cincinnati-area seat was redrawn after the 2020 census to incorporate additional Republican-leaning territory in Warren and Clinton counties, yet Landsman has maintained a consistent edge in head-to-head surveys conducted after the primaries. Forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic, reflecting the incumbent’s fundraising and name recognition advantages alongside typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. Limited late-cycle movement in public surveys has reinforced trader consensus around a Democratic hold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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