The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Cleveland-area voter base and partisan voting patterns exceeding D+40 in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Shontel Brown consolidated support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, while Republican candidates have drawn limited funding and visibility under the post-2025 redistricting map. Historical results in this seat show consistent Democratic margins above 50 points, aligning with the current implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm wave shifting turnout or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals affecting either side before November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$27,205 ปริมาณ
$27,205 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$27,205 ปริมาณ
$27,205 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,763 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$15,442 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Cleveland-area voter base and partisan voting patterns exceeding D+40 in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Shontel Brown consolidated support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, while Republican candidates have drawn limited funding and visibility under the post-2025 redistricting map. Historical results in this seat show consistent Democratic margins above 50 points, aligning with the current implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm wave shifting turnout or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals affecting either side before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,205วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Cleveland-area voter base and partisan voting patterns exceeding D+40 in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Shontel Brown consolidated support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, while Republican candidates have drawn limited funding and visibility under the post-2025 redistricting map. Historical results in this seat show consistent Democratic margins above 50 points, aligning with the current implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm wave shifting turnout or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals affecting either side before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,205วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic lean, rooted in its urban Cleveland-area voter base and partisan voting patterns exceeding D+40 in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5%. Incumbent Shontel Brown consolidated support by winning the May 2026 Democratic primary by a wide margin, while Republican candidates have drawn limited funding and visibility under the post-2025 redistricting map. Historical results in this seat show consistent Democratic margins above 50 points, aligning with the current implied probability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a national midterm wave shifting turnout or late developments such as candidate withdrawals or major scandals affecting either side before November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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