Marilyn Strickland's incumbency in Washington's 10th congressional district, combined with its D+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring Democrats at 93.5% to win the 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including the incumbent, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary against a single notable Republican, Chris Chung, in a district that has consistently supported Democratic presidential candidates by double-digit margins. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on recent voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current baseline conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-10 House Election Winner
$13,046 ปริมาณ
$13,046 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$13,046 ปริมาณ
$13,046 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Marilyn Strickland's incumbency in Washington's 10th congressional district, combined with its D+9 Cook Partisan Voter Index, underpins trader consensus favoring Democrats at 93.5% to win the 2026 general election. Multiple Democratic candidates, including the incumbent, are competing in the August 4 top-two primary against a single notable Republican, Chris Chung, in a district that has consistently supported Democratic presidential candidates by double-digit margins. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on recent voting patterns and limited Republican infrastructure. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial departures from current baseline conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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