The Republican Party maintains a commanding lead in the TN-04 House race due to the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district’s longstanding conservative tilt, even after May 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville while preserving a strong Republican baseline from recent presidential results. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 6 vote, yet the seat’s structural advantages and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the Republican nominee, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could still shift the outcome before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$37,987 ปริมาณ
$37,987 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$37,987 ปริมาณ
$37,987 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,445 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$18,541 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party maintains a commanding lead in the TN-04 House race due to the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district’s longstanding conservative tilt, even after May 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville while preserving a strong Republican baseline from recent presidential results. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 6 vote, yet the seat’s structural advantages and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the Republican nominee, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could still shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,987วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party maintains a commanding lead in the TN-04 House race due to the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district’s longstanding conservative tilt, even after May 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville while preserving a strong Republican baseline from recent presidential results. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 6 vote, yet the seat’s structural advantages and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the Republican nominee, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could still shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,987วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party maintains a commanding lead in the TN-04 House race due to the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a solid or safe Republican seat across major forecasters. Incumbent Scott DesJarlais benefits from the district’s longstanding conservative tilt, even after May 2026 redistricting that incorporated parts of Nashville while preserving a strong Republican baseline from recent presidential results. Multiple Democratic primary candidates are competing ahead of the August 6 vote, yet the seat’s structural advantages and historical margins limit their general-election prospects. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the Republican nominee, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could still shift the outcome before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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