Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her primary but operates in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting modestly reduced the GOP edge without altering the underlying partisan balance. Traders assign Broderick minimal odds because the rural, conservative district offers limited pathways for a Democratic upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$60,506 ปริมาณ
$60,506 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
94%
Victoria Broderick (D)
5%
$60,506 ปริมาณ
$60,506 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Scott DesJarlais (R)
$29,643 ปริมาณ
94%
Victoria Broderick (D)
$30,863 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her primary but operates in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting modestly reduced the GOP edge without altering the underlying partisan balance. Traders assign Broderick minimal odds because the rural, conservative district offers limited pathways for a Democratic upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,506วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her primary but operates in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting modestly reduced the GOP edge without altering the underlying partisan balance. Traders assign Broderick minimal odds because the rural, conservative district offers limited pathways for a Democratic upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,506วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott DesJarlais holds a commanding lead in the Tennessee 4th congressional district race due to the district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 2026 primary with 66% of the vote against multiple challengers, while Democrat Victoria Broderick advanced from her primary but operates in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid Republican by major forecasters. Recent redistricting modestly reduced the GOP edge without altering the underlying partisan balance. Traders assign Broderick minimal odds because the rural, conservative district offers limited pathways for a Democratic upset absent major unforeseen developments such as a significant scandal or abrupt national political shift before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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