Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold on Mississippi's 2nd congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, limits Republican prospects despite Ron Eller's nomination following his own primary. No significant developments have altered the race since the March primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as the next scheduled milestone. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 89 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's structural and historical patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMS-02 House Election Winner
MS-02 House Election Winner
$26,090 ปริมาณ
$26,090 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$26,090 ปริมาณ
$26,090 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,765 ปริมาณ
89%
Republican Party
$12,325 ปริมาณ
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold on Mississippi's 2nd congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, limits Republican prospects despite Ron Eller's nomination following his own primary. No significant developments have altered the race since the March primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as the next scheduled milestone. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 89 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's structural and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,090วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold on Mississippi's 2nd congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, limits Republican prospects despite Ron Eller's nomination following his own primary. No significant developments have altered the race since the March primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as the next scheduled milestone. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 89 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's structural and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,090วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bennie Thompson's long incumbency and decisive victory in the March 10 Democratic primary have anchored trader expectations for a Democratic hold on Mississippi's 2nd congressional district. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and Thompson's consistent general-election margins above 60 percent in recent cycles, limits Republican prospects despite Ron Eller's nomination following his own primary. No significant developments have altered the race since the March primaries, leaving the November 3 general election as the next scheduled milestone. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 89 percent implied probability, consistent with the seat's structural and historical patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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