Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew after the map changes, shifting the race into primaries scheduled for August 6 with a November 3 general election. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and state Rep. Todd Warner, are competing for the nomination, while Democrats such as state Sen. London Lamar and state Rep. Justin Pearson vie in their primary. The updated boundaries and resulting open-seat dynamics have aligned trader consensus around a Republican advantage, consistent with the district's revised partisan voting index.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-09 House Election Winner
$30,443 ปริมาณ
$30,443 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
20%
$30,443 ปริมาณ
$30,443 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
20%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's May 2026 congressional redistricting transformed the 9th district from a Memphis-centered Democratic stronghold into an open seat extending toward Nashville suburbs that backed Trump by 21 points in the prior cycle. Longtime Democratic incumbent Steve Cohen withdrew after the map changes, shifting the race into primaries scheduled for August 6 with a November 3 general election. Multiple Republicans, including state Sen. Brent Taylor and state Rep. Todd Warner, are competing for the nomination, while Democrats such as state Sen. London Lamar and state Rep. Justin Pearson vie in their primary. The updated boundaries and resulting open-seat dynamics have aligned trader consensus around a Republican advantage, consistent with the district's revised partisan voting index.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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