Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans in a May 2026 special session transformed the 9th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold into a seat that favored Donald Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024 estimates, incorporating new suburban and rural voters across Shelby, Williamson, and other counties while splitting Memphis. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August primary with Trump’s endorsement and strong establishment backing, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. Justin Pearson, who won the Democratic primary, brings name recognition from his role in the 2023 Tennessee Three protests, yet faces a structural partisan disadvantage that limits his path despite recent internal polling showing a narrow gap. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, with the redrawn map and voter composition driving the current trader consensus on the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$45,796 ปริมาณ
$45,796 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
88%
Justin Pearson (D)
13%
$45,796 ปริมาณ
$45,796 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Brent Taylor (R)
$25,161 ปริมาณ
88%
Justin Pearson (D)
$20,634 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans in a May 2026 special session transformed the 9th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold into a seat that favored Donald Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024 estimates, incorporating new suburban and rural voters across Shelby, Williamson, and other counties while splitting Memphis. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August primary with Trump’s endorsement and strong establishment backing, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. Justin Pearson, who won the Democratic primary, brings name recognition from his role in the 2023 Tennessee Three protests, yet faces a structural partisan disadvantage that limits his path despite recent internal polling showing a narrow gap. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, with the redrawn map and voter composition driving the current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,796วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans in a May 2026 special session transformed the 9th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold into a seat that favored Donald Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024 estimates, incorporating new suburban and rural voters across Shelby, Williamson, and other counties while splitting Memphis. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August primary with Trump’s endorsement and strong establishment backing, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. Justin Pearson, who won the Democratic primary, brings name recognition from his role in the 2023 Tennessee Three protests, yet faces a structural partisan disadvantage that limits his path despite recent internal polling showing a narrow gap. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, with the redrawn map and voter composition driving the current trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,796วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2f5e3684c...Redistricting by Tennessee Republicans in a May 2026 special session transformed the 9th Congressional District from a Democratic stronghold into a seat that favored Donald Trump by roughly 20 points in 2024 estimates, incorporating new suburban and rural voters across Shelby, Williamson, and other counties while splitting Memphis. Brent Taylor secured the Republican nomination in the August primary with Trump’s endorsement and strong establishment backing, positioning him as the clear favorite in the November 3 general election. Justin Pearson, who won the Democratic primary, brings name recognition from his role in the 2023 Tennessee Three protests, yet faces a structural partisan disadvantage that limits his path despite recent internal polling showing a narrow gap. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, with the redrawn map and voter composition driving the current trader consensus on the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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