Redistricting by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a seat that supported Donald Trump by 21 points, with a revised Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen announced in May 2026 that he would not seek reelection in any of the newly configured districts, creating an open-seat contest. Both parties are holding primaries on August 6, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates competing and Republicans fielding challengers. These structural changes—combined with the absence of an entrenched incumbent—have produced strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election victory on November 3. DCCC inclusion of the seat among targeted districts reflects Democratic efforts to contest the outcome, though the altered electorate limits upside potential absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$32,566 ปริมาณ
$32,566 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$32,566 ปริมาณ
$32,566 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,352 ปริมาณ
83%
Democratic Party
$13,214 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a seat that supported Donald Trump by 21 points, with a revised Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen announced in May 2026 that he would not seek reelection in any of the newly configured districts, creating an open-seat contest. Both parties are holding primaries on August 6, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates competing and Republicans fielding challengers. These structural changes—combined with the absence of an entrenched incumbent—have produced strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election victory on November 3. DCCC inclusion of the seat among targeted districts reflects Democratic efforts to contest the outcome, though the altered electorate limits upside potential absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,566วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a seat that supported Donald Trump by 21 points, with a revised Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen announced in May 2026 that he would not seek reelection in any of the newly configured districts, creating an open-seat contest. Both parties are holding primaries on August 6, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates competing and Republicans fielding challengers. These structural changes—combined with the absence of an entrenched incumbent—have produced strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election victory on November 3. DCCC inclusion of the seat among targeted districts reflects Democratic efforts to contest the outcome, though the altered electorate limits upside potential absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,566วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting by Tennessee's Republican-controlled legislature transformed the 9th district from a long-standing Democratic stronghold into a seat that supported Donald Trump by 21 points, with a revised Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. Longtime incumbent Steve Cohen announced in May 2026 that he would not seek reelection in any of the newly configured districts, creating an open-seat contest. Both parties are holding primaries on August 6, 2026, with multiple Democratic candidates competing and Republicans fielding challengers. These structural changes—combined with the absence of an entrenched incumbent—have produced strong trader consensus favoring a Republican general-election victory on November 3. DCCC inclusion of the seat among targeted districts reflects Democratic efforts to contest the outcome, though the altered electorate limits upside potential absent major shifts in turnout or candidate dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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