Longtime incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $2 million cash on hand versus challenger state Rep. Justin J. Pearson's $388,000 as of late March—bolsters trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a D+23 stronghold per Cook PVI where Cohen has secured 70-80% in recent general elections. The August 6 Democratic primary pits Cohen against Pearson, activist DeVante Hill, and M. LaTroy A-Williams amid progressive pushback, but faces scant Republican opposition from repeat candidates like Charlotte Bergmann and minimal independents. While a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee gaffes, or national GOP midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical precedents and weak GOP infrastructure make a Republican upset improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTN-09 House Election Winner
TN-09 House Election Winner
$10,939 ปริมาณ
$10,939 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$10,939 ปริมาณ
$10,939 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,515 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$6,424 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $2 million cash on hand versus challenger state Rep. Justin J. Pearson's $388,000 as of late March—bolsters trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a D+23 stronghold per Cook PVI where Cohen has secured 70-80% in recent general elections. The August 6 Democratic primary pits Cohen against Pearson, activist DeVante Hill, and M. LaTroy A-Williams amid progressive pushback, but faces scant Republican opposition from repeat candidates like Charlotte Bergmann and minimal independents. While a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee gaffes, or national GOP midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical precedents and weak GOP infrastructure make a Republican upset improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,939วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $2 million cash on hand versus challenger state Rep. Justin J. Pearson's $388,000 as of late March—bolsters trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a D+23 stronghold per Cook PVI where Cohen has secured 70-80% in recent general elections. The August 6 Democratic primary pits Cohen against Pearson, activist DeVante Hill, and M. LaTroy A-Williams amid progressive pushback, but faces scant Republican opposition from repeat candidates like Charlotte Bergmann and minimal independents. While a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee gaffes, or national GOP midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical precedents and weak GOP infrastructure make a Republican upset improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$10,939วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime incumbent Rep. Steve Cohen's commanding fundraising lead—nearly $2 million cash on hand versus challenger state Rep. Justin J. Pearson's $388,000 as of late March—bolsters trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in Tennessee's 9th Congressional District, a D+23 stronghold per Cook PVI where Cohen has secured 70-80% in recent general elections. The August 6 Democratic primary pits Cohen against Pearson, activist DeVante Hill, and M. LaTroy A-Williams amid progressive pushback, but faces scant Republican opposition from repeat candidates like Charlotte Bergmann and minimal independents. While a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee gaffes, or national GOP midterm wave could narrow the gap, historical precedents and weak GOP infrastructure make a Republican upset improbable ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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