Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.9% implied probability to win Idaho's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, including incumbent Russ Fulcher's 71% win in 2024 against Democrat Kaylee Peterson. Fulcher, seeking a fifth term, holds a commanding $284,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing primary challengers Andy Briner and Joseph Morrison, who report no fundraising. Democrats face an uphill battle in this Trump +45 district, with nominees yet to be decided in the May 19 primary alongside Ken Brungardt and returning challenger Peterson. Scenarios to shift odds include a Fulcher primary upset, personal scandal, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$24,284 ปริมาณ
$24,284 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$24,284 ปริมาณ
$24,284 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,133 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$8,151 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.9% implied probability to win Idaho's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, including incumbent Russ Fulcher's 71% win in 2024 against Democrat Kaylee Peterson. Fulcher, seeking a fifth term, holds a commanding $284,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing primary challengers Andy Briner and Joseph Morrison, who report no fundraising. Democrats face an uphill battle in this Trump +45 district, with nominees yet to be decided in the May 19 primary alongside Ken Brungardt and returning challenger Peterson. Scenarios to shift odds include a Fulcher primary upset, personal scandal, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,284วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.9% implied probability to win Idaho's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, including incumbent Russ Fulcher's 71% win in 2024 against Democrat Kaylee Peterson. Fulcher, seeking a fifth term, holds a commanding $284,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing primary challengers Andy Briner and Joseph Morrison, who report no fundraising. Democrats face an uphill battle in this Trump +45 district, with nominees yet to be decided in the May 19 primary alongside Ken Brungardt and returning challenger Peterson. Scenarios to shift odds include a Fulcher primary upset, personal scandal, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,284วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 93.9% implied probability to win Idaho's 1st Congressional District House seat, reflecting the district's R+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index and history of lopsided Republican victories, including incumbent Russ Fulcher's 71% win in 2024 against Democrat Kaylee Peterson. Fulcher, seeking a fifth term, holds a commanding $284,000 cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing primary challengers Andy Briner and Joseph Morrison, who report no fundraising. Democrats face an uphill battle in this Trump +45 district, with nominees yet to be decided in the May 19 primary alongside Ken Brungardt and returning challenger Peterson. Scenarios to shift odds include a Fulcher primary upset, personal scandal, or massive national Democratic midterm wave, though structural barriers remain high ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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