Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63% of the vote against two challengers and now faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district, covering eastern and northern Boise along with much of eastern Idaho, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including Simpson's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the party's structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Gilbreath's primary victory has not altered the race's trajectory. A late national shift in the midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or an unprecedented Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical results and current ratings indicate limited scope for such changes before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
$34,369 ปริมาณ
$34,369 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$34,369 ปริมาณ
$34,369 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$14,241 ปริมาณ
95%
Democratic Party
$20,128 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63% of the vote against two challengers and now faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district, covering eastern and northern Boise along with much of eastern Idaho, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including Simpson's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the party's structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Gilbreath's primary victory has not altered the race's trajectory. A late national shift in the midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or an unprecedented Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical results and current ratings indicate limited scope for such changes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,369วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63% of the vote against two challengers and now faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district, covering eastern and northern Boise along with much of eastern Idaho, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including Simpson's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the party's structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Gilbreath's primary victory has not altered the race's trajectory. A late national shift in the midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or an unprecedented Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical results and current ratings indicate limited scope for such changes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,369วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with 63% of the vote against two challengers and now faces Democrat Elinor Gilbreath in the November general election. The district, covering eastern and northern Boise along with much of eastern Idaho, has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, including Simpson's 61% win in 2024. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican, reflecting the party's structural advantage in voter registration, turnout patterns, and fundraising. Gilbreath's primary victory has not altered the race's trajectory. A late national shift in the midterm environment, an unforeseen scandal, or an unprecedented Democratic mobilization could narrow the gap, though historical results and current ratings indicate limited scope for such changes before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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