Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier is seeking a fifth term in the D+3 district, which covers Seattle suburbs and parts of central Washington, after winning 54% in 2024. Multiple Republican candidates filed ahead of the May 8 deadline and will compete in the August 4 top-two primary, potentially fragmenting GOP support. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Democratic, citing Schrier's incumbency and fundraising edge. With the general election on November 3 still months away, trader pricing for a Democratic win at 46.9% versus 12.6% for Republicans reflects the district's partisan lean alongside uncertainty over primary outcomes and broader midterm dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-08 House Election Winner
Republican Party
12%
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
12%
Democratic Party
60%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kim Schrier is seeking a fifth term in the D+3 district, which covers Seattle suburbs and parts of central Washington, after winning 54% in 2024. Multiple Republican candidates filed ahead of the May 8 deadline and will compete in the August 4 top-two primary, potentially fragmenting GOP support. Forecasters rate the race Likely or Solid Democratic, citing Schrier's incumbency and fundraising edge. With the general election on November 3 still months away, trader pricing for a Democratic win at 46.9% versus 12.6% for Republicans reflects the district's partisan lean alongside uncertainty over primary outcomes and broader midterm dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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