Summer Lee, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, secured her party's nomination with over 81 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Lee's prior 56 percent general-election margin and its Solid Democratic rating from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent chance of a Democratic hold. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest challenger visibility, and the absence of recent polling shifts or major district-specific disruptions have kept the race from tightening. A late scandal affecting Lee, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or unexpected surges in turnout or fundraising for Hayes represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPA-12 House Election Winner
PA-12 House Election Winner
$15,919 ปริมาณ
$15,919 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$15,919 ปริมาณ
$15,919 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,271 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$4,648 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Summer Lee, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, secured her party's nomination with over 81 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Lee's prior 56 percent general-election margin and its Solid Democratic rating from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent chance of a Democratic hold. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest challenger visibility, and the absence of recent polling shifts or major district-specific disruptions have kept the race from tightening. A late scandal affecting Lee, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or unexpected surges in turnout or fundraising for Hayes represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,919วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Summer Lee, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, secured her party's nomination with over 81 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Lee's prior 56 percent general-election margin and its Solid Democratic rating from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent chance of a Democratic hold. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest challenger visibility, and the absence of recent polling shifts or major district-specific disruptions have kept the race from tightening. A late scandal affecting Lee, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or unexpected surges in turnout or fundraising for Hayes represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,919วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Summer Lee, the Democratic incumbent since 2023, secured her party's nomination with over 81 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican James Hayes in the November 3 general election for Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. The district's consistent Democratic lean, evidenced by Lee's prior 56 percent general-election margin and its Solid Democratic rating from forecasters, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent chance of a Democratic hold. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest challenger visibility, and the absence of recent polling shifts or major district-specific disruptions have kept the race from tightening. A late scandal affecting Lee, an unusually strong national Republican wave, or unexpected surges in turnout or fundraising for Hayes represent the primary paths that could narrow the margin enough to alter the outcome before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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