Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 that he carried by more than ten points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic investment relative to more competitive battlegrounds. The Democratic primary set for June 23 features Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, leaving the general-election matchup open weeks before voters select a nominee. An early December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of Gallant by three points amid undecided voters, underscoring the narrow margin traders price into current odds. National midterm dynamics, turnout among suburban Long Island voters, and any late shifts in candidate visibility could still influence the outcome before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$30,583 ปริมาณ
$30,583 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
55%
Democratic Party
43%
$30,583 ปริมาณ
$30,583 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,091 ปริมาณ
55%
Democratic Party
$21,493 ปริมาณ
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 that he carried by more than ten points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic investment relative to more competitive battlegrounds. The Democratic primary set for June 23 features Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, leaving the general-election matchup open weeks before voters select a nominee. An early December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of Gallant by three points amid undecided voters, underscoring the narrow margin traders price into current odds. National midterm dynamics, turnout among suburban Long Island voters, and any late shifts in candidate visibility could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,583วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 that he carried by more than ten points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic investment relative to more competitive battlegrounds. The Democratic primary set for June 23 features Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, leaving the general-election matchup open weeks before voters select a nominee. An early December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of Gallant by three points amid undecided voters, underscoring the narrow margin traders price into current odds. National midterm dynamics, turnout among suburban Long Island voters, and any late shifts in candidate visibility could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$30,583วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota seeks re-election in New York’s 1st congressional district, a seat with a Republican partisan voting index of R+4 that he carried by more than ten points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s voting patterns and limited Democratic investment relative to more competitive battlegrounds. The Democratic primary set for June 23 features Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, leaving the general-election matchup open weeks before voters select a nominee. An early December 2025 poll showed LaLota ahead of Gallant by three points amid undecided voters, underscoring the narrow margin traders price into current odds. National midterm dynamics, turnout among suburban Long Island voters, and any late shifts in candidate visibility could still influence the outcome before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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