Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and his 2024 reelection victory, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 62.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election. Recent Democratic primary entrants Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, announced in early April ahead of the June 23 closed primary, have yet to demonstrate fundraising or polling traction to challenge LaLota, who faces no serious GOP primary opposition. A December 2025 survey showed Gallant trailing LaLota, while a partisan House Majority PAC poll in January claimed vulnerability without shifting broader assessments; Battleground New York PAC's February targeting signals modest Democratic interest amid limited national resources for this race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$13,891 ปริมาณ
$13,891 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
63%
Democratic Party
30%
$13,891 ปริมาณ
$13,891 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,356 ปริมาณ
63%
Democratic Party
$9,535 ปริมาณ
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and his 2024 reelection victory, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 62.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election. Recent Democratic primary entrants Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, announced in early April ahead of the June 23 closed primary, have yet to demonstrate fundraising or polling traction to challenge LaLota, who faces no serious GOP primary opposition. A December 2025 survey showed Gallant trailing LaLota, while a partisan House Majority PAC poll in January claimed vulnerability without shifting broader assessments; Battleground New York PAC's February targeting signals modest Democratic interest amid limited national resources for this race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,891วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and his 2024 reelection victory, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 62.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election. Recent Democratic primary entrants Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, announced in early April ahead of the June 23 closed primary, have yet to demonstrate fundraising or polling traction to challenge LaLota, who faces no serious GOP primary opposition. A December 2025 survey showed Gallant trailing LaLota, while a partisan House Majority PAC poll in January claimed vulnerability without shifting broader assessments; Battleground New York PAC's February targeting signals modest Democratic interest amid limited national resources for this race.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,891วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a strong position in New York's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report due to its partisan lean and his 2024 reelection victory, driving trader consensus to price Republicans at 62.5% implied probability for the November 3 general election. Recent Democratic primary entrants Christopher Gallant and Lukas Ventouras, announced in early April ahead of the June 23 closed primary, have yet to demonstrate fundraising or polling traction to challenge LaLota, who faces no serious GOP primary opposition. A December 2025 survey showed Gallant trailing LaLota, while a partisan House Majority PAC poll in January claimed vulnerability without shifting broader assessments; Battleground New York PAC's February targeting signals modest Democratic interest amid limited national resources for this race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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