Washington’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with 63 percent in 2024, faces several primary challengers but only one Republican opponent after the May filing deadline. The August 4 primary and November 3 general election occur in a district where Democratic performance has consistently exceeded national averages. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the seat’s competitiveness. Late-cycle events such as an incumbent retirement, major scandal, or unusually strong Republican primary performance remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWA-01 House Election Winner
$15,803 ปริมาณ
$15,803 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
4%
$15,803 ปริมาณ
$15,803 ปริมาณ
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+15 and receives Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Incumbent Democrat Suzan DelBene, first elected in 2012 and re-elected with 63 percent in 2024, faces several primary challengers but only one Republican opponent after the May filing deadline. The August 4 primary and November 3 general election occur in a district where Democratic performance has consistently exceeded national averages. Trader consensus at 91.5 percent for the Democratic Party reflects this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments that would alter the seat’s competitiveness. Late-cycle events such as an incumbent retirement, major scandal, or unusually strong Republican primary performance remain the primary factors that could narrow the margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย