Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$27,452 ปริมาณ
$27,452 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
4%
$27,452 ปริมาณ
$27,452 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,566 ปริมาณ
96%
Republican Party
$16,887 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,452วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,452วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86% in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in the November general election for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voter index and delivered strong Democratic margins in recent presidential and House contests, consistent with its urban and suburban voter base along the Portland corridor. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 96.4% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle shifts. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome include an unforeseen national political realignment, a significant scandal or health issue involving the incumbent, or unusually low Democratic turnout in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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