Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district, encompassing much of Albuquerque and surrounding areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a 5.5-point margin for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Stansbury secured reelection that year with 56.4% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke, a pharmacist, also faced no primary opposition but enters as a challenger in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Limited polling and fundraising data reinforce the gap. A major national partisan shift, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$35,867 ปริมาณ
$35,867 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$35,867 ปริมาณ
$35,867 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,452 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$17,415 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district, encompassing much of Albuquerque and surrounding areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a 5.5-point margin for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Stansbury secured reelection that year with 56.4% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke, a pharmacist, also faced no primary opposition but enters as a challenger in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Limited polling and fundraising data reinforce the gap. A major national partisan shift, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,867วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district, encompassing much of Albuquerque and surrounding areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a 5.5-point margin for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Stansbury secured reelection that year with 56.4% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke, a pharmacist, also faced no primary opposition but enters as a challenger in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Limited polling and fundraising data reinforce the gap. A major national partisan shift, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,867วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Melanie Stansbury holds a commanding position in New Mexico’s 1st congressional district race, reflected in the trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district, encompassing much of Albuquerque and surrounding areas, has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, including a 5.5-point margin for the party’s presidential nominee in 2024. Stansbury secured reelection that year with 56.4% of the vote and advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primary. Republican nominee Ndidiamaka Okpareke, a pharmacist, also faced no primary opposition but enters as a challenger in a seat rated Solid or Safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Limited polling and fundraising data reinforce the gap. A major national partisan shift, significant scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the margin, though such factors have not materialized in current assessments ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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