New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury, first elected in a 2021 special election and re-elected with 56.4 percent in 2024, benefits from strong name recognition, committee assignments aligned with local priorities such as energy and water policy, and substantial fundraising advantages over Republican opponents. With primaries completed and no competitive challengers emerging, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. A national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant local scandal could alter the trajectory before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$26,855 ปริมาณ
$26,855 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$26,855 ปริมาณ
$26,855 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,355 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$10,499 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury, first elected in a 2021 special election and re-elected with 56.4 percent in 2024, benefits from strong name recognition, committee assignments aligned with local priorities such as energy and water policy, and substantial fundraising advantages over Republican opponents. With primaries completed and no competitive challengers emerging, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. A national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant local scandal could alter the trajectory before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,855วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury, first elected in a 2021 special election and re-elected with 56.4 percent in 2024, benefits from strong name recognition, committee assignments aligned with local priorities such as energy and water policy, and substantial fundraising advantages over Republican opponents. With primaries completed and no competitive challengers emerging, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. A national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant local scandal could alter the trajectory before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,855วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Mexico's 1st congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+7 Partisan Voter Index and repeated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from nonpartisan forecasters. Incumbent Representative Melanie Stansbury, first elected in a 2021 special election and re-elected with 56.4 percent in 2024, benefits from strong name recognition, committee assignments aligned with local priorities such as energy and water policy, and substantial fundraising advantages over Republican opponents. With primaries completed and no competitive challengers emerging, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic hold. A national political shift, unexpected retirement, or significant local scandal could alter the trajectory before the November 2026 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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