Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s back-to-back wins and fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez at 46% to Republican Greg Cunningham’s 43% among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Cunningham consolidated the Republican nomination after the June 2 primary and received recent support from House Speaker Mike Johnson, yet the district’s R+2 partisan lean and Trump’s 2024 carry have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to most ratings. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 88.5%, consistent with the incumbent’s structural advantages and limited time for the challenger to close the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$33,358 ปริมาณ
$33,358 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
12%
$33,358 ปริมาณ
$33,358 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,228 ปริมาณ
89%
Republican Party
$19,129 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s back-to-back wins and fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez at 46% to Republican Greg Cunningham’s 43% among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Cunningham consolidated the Republican nomination after the June 2 primary and received recent support from House Speaker Mike Johnson, yet the district’s R+2 partisan lean and Trump’s 2024 carry have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to most ratings. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 88.5%, consistent with the incumbent’s structural advantages and limited time for the challenger to close the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,358วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s back-to-back wins and fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez at 46% to Republican Greg Cunningham’s 43% among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Cunningham consolidated the Republican nomination after the June 2 primary and received recent support from House Speaker Mike Johnson, yet the district’s R+2 partisan lean and Trump’s 2024 carry have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to most ratings. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 88.5%, consistent with the incumbent’s structural advantages and limited time for the challenger to close the gap before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,358วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a strong position in New Mexico’s 2nd Congressional District ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Lean Democratic or Likely Democratic, reflecting Vasquez’s back-to-back wins and fundraising edge exceeding $2 million in cash on hand. A late-August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez at 46% to Republican Greg Cunningham’s 43% among likely voters, with 11% undecided. Cunningham consolidated the Republican nomination after the June 2 primary and received recent support from House Speaker Mike Johnson, yet the district’s R+2 partisan lean and Trump’s 2024 carry have not shifted the race into toss-up territory according to most ratings. Traders price the Democratic outcome at 88.5%, consistent with the incumbent’s structural advantages and limited time for the challenger to close the gap before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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