Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's commanding fundraising lead—$1.87 million cash on hand versus Republican Greg Cunningham's $204,000 as of late March—anchors trader consensus at 73% for a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, where Vasquez won narrowly in 2022 and 2024. Recent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have shifted to Lean Democratic, reflecting GOP field consolidation after Jose Orozco's April 8 primary dropout and endorsement of Cunningham, despite scrutiny over the challenger's veteran benefits claims. With Vasquez unopposed in the June 2 primary and no polls yet, incumbency advantage and financial disparity drive the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$16,368 ปริมาณ
$16,368 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
70%
Republican Party
22%
$16,368 ปริมาณ
$16,368 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$881 ปริมาณ
70%
Republican Party
$15,487 ปริมาณ
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's commanding fundraising lead—$1.87 million cash on hand versus Republican Greg Cunningham's $204,000 as of late March—anchors trader consensus at 73% for a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, where Vasquez won narrowly in 2022 and 2024. Recent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have shifted to Lean Democratic, reflecting GOP field consolidation after Jose Orozco's April 8 primary dropout and endorsement of Cunningham, despite scrutiny over the challenger's veteran benefits claims. With Vasquez unopposed in the June 2 primary and no polls yet, incumbency advantage and financial disparity drive the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,368วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's commanding fundraising lead—$1.87 million cash on hand versus Republican Greg Cunningham's $204,000 as of late March—anchors trader consensus at 73% for a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, where Vasquez won narrowly in 2022 and 2024. Recent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have shifted to Lean Democratic, reflecting GOP field consolidation after Jose Orozco's April 8 primary dropout and endorsement of Cunningham, despite scrutiny over the challenger's veteran benefits claims. With Vasquez unopposed in the June 2 primary and no polls yet, incumbency advantage and financial disparity drive the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,368วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez's commanding fundraising lead—$1.87 million cash on hand versus Republican Greg Cunningham's $204,000 as of late March—anchors trader consensus at 73% for a Democratic hold in New Mexico's competitive 2nd Congressional District, where Vasquez won narrowly in 2022 and 2024. Recent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball have shifted to Lean Democratic, reflecting GOP field consolidation after Jose Orozco's April 8 primary dropout and endorsement of Cunningham, despite scrutiny over the challenger's veteran benefits claims. With Vasquez unopposed in the June 2 primary and no polls yet, incumbency advantage and financial disparity drive the lopsided odds ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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