Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNM-02 House Election Winner
NM-02 House Election Winner
$33,358 ปริมาณ
$33,358 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
$33,358 ปริมาณ
$33,358 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,228 ปริมาณ
88%
Republican Party
$19,129 ปริมาณ
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,358วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,358วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gabriel Vasquez seeks a third term in New Mexico’s 2nd congressional district against Republican Greg Cunningham, the June primary winner. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Lean Democratic or Tilt Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election, citing Vasquez’s consecutive victories in a district with an R+2 partisan voting index where he outperformed the presidential ticket in 2024. Vasquez maintains a substantial fundraising edge and benefits from established name recognition in southern New Mexico, including Las Cruces and the Permian Basin. Cunningham, a former Marine and police officer, consolidated Republican support but trails in resources and visibility. Recent attack ads targeting Vasquez on policy votes have not altered the broader assessment that the incumbent holds a structural advantage in this swing district. Trader consensus on a Democratic hold reflects these incumbency, financial, and rating factors.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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