The redrawn TX-35 boundaries, shifted in the 2025 Republican-led redistricting to favor the GOP with a Trump +10 margin from 2024, set the baseline for the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns Johnny Garcia a 67.5% implied probability over Carlos De La Cruz at 33%, driven by Garcia’s primary-runoff victory as a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law enforcement and affordability issues in the Hispanic-majority I-35 corridor district. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who defeated state Rep. John Lujan, benefits from party infrastructure and his sibling connection to Rep. Monica De La Cruz. An August 2026 poll showing the candidates statistically tied at 44-45% underscores the contest’s competitiveness, with late-cycle economic messaging and turnout among key voting blocs remaining the primary variables that could shift probabilities before early voting begins in October.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$28,560 ปริมาณ
$28,560 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Johnny Garcia (D)
67%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)
33%
$28,560 ปริมาณ
$28,560 ปริมาณ
Nov 4, 2026
Johnny Garcia (D)
$14,199 ปริมาณ
67%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)
$14,361 ปริมาณ
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn TX-35 boundaries, shifted in the 2025 Republican-led redistricting to favor the GOP with a Trump +10 margin from 2024, set the baseline for the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns Johnny Garcia a 67.5% implied probability over Carlos De La Cruz at 33%, driven by Garcia’s primary-runoff victory as a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law enforcement and affordability issues in the Hispanic-majority I-35 corridor district. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who defeated state Rep. John Lujan, benefits from party infrastructure and his sibling connection to Rep. Monica De La Cruz. An August 2026 poll showing the candidates statistically tied at 44-45% underscores the contest’s competitiveness, with late-cycle economic messaging and turnout among key voting blocs remaining the primary variables that could shift probabilities before early voting begins in October.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,560วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn TX-35 boundaries, shifted in the 2025 Republican-led redistricting to favor the GOP with a Trump +10 margin from 2024, set the baseline for the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns Johnny Garcia a 67.5% implied probability over Carlos De La Cruz at 33%, driven by Garcia’s primary-runoff victory as a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law enforcement and affordability issues in the Hispanic-majority I-35 corridor district. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who defeated state Rep. John Lujan, benefits from party infrastructure and his sibling connection to Rep. Monica De La Cruz. An August 2026 poll showing the candidates statistically tied at 44-45% underscores the contest’s competitiveness, with late-cycle economic messaging and turnout among key voting blocs remaining the primary variables that could shift probabilities before early voting begins in October.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,560วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2f5e3684c...The redrawn TX-35 boundaries, shifted in the 2025 Republican-led redistricting to favor the GOP with a Trump +10 margin from 2024, set the baseline for the November 3, 2026 general election. Trader consensus nonetheless assigns Johnny Garcia a 67.5% implied probability over Carlos De La Cruz at 33%, driven by Garcia’s primary-runoff victory as a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law enforcement and affordability issues in the Hispanic-majority I-35 corridor district. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and Trump-endorsed nominee who defeated state Rep. John Lujan, benefits from party infrastructure and his sibling connection to Rep. Monica De La Cruz. An August 2026 poll showing the candidates statistically tied at 44-45% underscores the contest’s competitiveness, with late-cycle economic messaging and turnout among key voting blocs remaining the primary variables that could shift probabilities before early voting begins in October.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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