In Texas' 35th Congressional District, a newly redrawn open seat with an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Donald Trump carried 51% in 2024, primary runoffs on May 26 pit Democrat Maureen Galindo against Johnny Garcia and Republican John Lujan against Carlos De La Cruz, keeping the general election race tight ahead of November 3. The March 3 primaries produced no outright winners, splitting GOP endorsements between Trump backing De La Cruz and Gov. Greg Abbott supporting Lujan, potentially weakening the eventual nominee amid strong Republican fundraising. Despite Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others, trader consensus gives Democrats a slim 51% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over nominee strength, Hispanic voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and national midterm dynamics that could tip this battleground toward either party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วTX-35 House Election Winner
TX-35 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
50%
Republican Party
48%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,545 ปริมาณ
50%
Republican Party
$755 ปริมาณ
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 35th Congressional District, a newly redrawn open seat with an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Donald Trump carried 51% in 2024, primary runoffs on May 26 pit Democrat Maureen Galindo against Johnny Garcia and Republican John Lujan against Carlos De La Cruz, keeping the general election race tight ahead of November 3. The March 3 primaries produced no outright winners, splitting GOP endorsements between Trump backing De La Cruz and Gov. Greg Abbott supporting Lujan, potentially weakening the eventual nominee amid strong Republican fundraising. Despite Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others, trader consensus gives Democrats a slim 51% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over nominee strength, Hispanic voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and national midterm dynamics that could tip this battleground toward either party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,301วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Texas' 35th Congressional District, a newly redrawn open seat with an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Donald Trump carried 51% in 2024, primary runoffs on May 26 pit Democrat Maureen Galindo against Johnny Garcia and Republican John Lujan against Carlos De La Cruz, keeping the general election race tight ahead of November 3. The March 3 primaries produced no outright winners, splitting GOP endorsements between Trump backing De La Cruz and Gov. Greg Abbott supporting Lujan, potentially weakening the eventual nominee amid strong Republican fundraising. Despite Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others, trader consensus gives Democrats a slim 51% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over nominee strength, Hispanic voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and national midterm dynamics that could tip this battleground toward either party.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,301วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Texas' 35th Congressional District, a newly redrawn open seat with an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index where Donald Trump carried 51% in 2024, primary runoffs on May 26 pit Democrat Maureen Galindo against Johnny Garcia and Republican John Lujan against Carlos De La Cruz, keeping the general election race tight ahead of November 3. The March 3 primaries produced no outright winners, splitting GOP endorsements between Trump backing De La Cruz and Gov. Greg Abbott supporting Lujan, potentially weakening the eventual nominee amid strong Republican fundraising. Despite Likely Republican ratings from Cook and others, trader consensus gives Democrats a slim 51% implied probability, reflecting uncertainty over nominee strength, Hispanic voter turnout in San Antonio suburbs, and national midterm dynamics that could tip this battleground toward either party.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย