Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 65 percent win in 2024. John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements from key party figures ahead of the August 2026 primaries, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose emerged from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, the incumbent’s appropriations and agriculture focus, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic change in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-02 House Election Winner
MI-02 House Election Winner
$53,874 ปริมาณ
$53,874 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
98%
Democratic Party
1%
$53,874 ปริมาณ
$53,874 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$22,752 ปริมาณ
98%
Democratic Party
$31,122 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 65 percent win in 2024. John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements from key party figures ahead of the August 2026 primaries, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose emerged from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, the incumbent’s appropriations and agriculture focus, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic change in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,874วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 65 percent win in 2024. John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements from key party figures ahead of the August 2026 primaries, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose emerged from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, the incumbent’s appropriations and agriculture focus, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic change in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$53,874วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan’s 2nd congressional district, rated R+15 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, has delivered consistent Republican majorities in recent cycles, including the incumbent’s 65 percent win in 2024. John Moolenaar, first elected in 2014, faced no primary opposition and secured endorsements from key party figures ahead of the August 2026 primaries, while Democrat Benjamin Ambrose emerged from a competitive three-way primary. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan baseline, the incumbent’s appropriations and agriculture focus, and limited Democratic infrastructure. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors. A realistic change in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, serious health event involving the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm environment capable of overcoming the district’s established voting patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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