Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new 6th district anchored in Baton Rouge with a clear Republican tilt, including a 41-30% GOP registration edge and a 65% Trump vote share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than contest the altered lines, leaving an open seat where state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded Republican field. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in the November 3 jungle primary, with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. The 93.5% Republican consensus reflects this partisan realignment and candidate strength; an upset would require either a late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization that overcomes the district’s baseline, or an unusually fragmented Republican vote that forces a December runoff against a unified Democratic opponent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLA-06 House Election Winner
LA-06 House Election Winner
$65,492 ปริมาณ
$65,492 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
8%
$65,492 ปริมาณ
$65,492 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$36,074 ปริมาณ
94%
Democratic Party
$29,418 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new 6th district anchored in Baton Rouge with a clear Republican tilt, including a 41-30% GOP registration edge and a 65% Trump vote share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than contest the altered lines, leaving an open seat where state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded Republican field. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in the November 3 jungle primary, with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. The 93.5% Republican consensus reflects this partisan realignment and candidate strength; an upset would require either a late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization that overcomes the district’s baseline, or an unusually fragmented Republican vote that forces a December runoff against a unified Democratic opponent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,492วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new 6th district anchored in Baton Rouge with a clear Republican tilt, including a 41-30% GOP registration edge and a 65% Trump vote share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than contest the altered lines, leaving an open seat where state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded Republican field. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in the November 3 jungle primary, with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. The 93.5% Republican consensus reflects this partisan realignment and candidate strength; an upset would require either a late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization that overcomes the district’s baseline, or an unusually fragmented Republican vote that forces a December runoff against a unified Democratic opponent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,492วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting after the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais produced a new 6th district anchored in Baton Rouge with a clear Republican tilt, including a 41-30% GOP registration edge and a 65% Trump vote share in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields withdrew rather than contest the altered lines, leaving an open seat where state senators Blake Miguez and Rick Edmonds lead a crowded Republican field. Democratic candidates face structural headwinds in the November 3 jungle primary, with forecasters rating the contest Safe or Solid Republican. The 93.5% Republican consensus reflects this partisan realignment and candidate strength; an upset would require either a late-breaking scandal, unusually high Democratic mobilization that overcomes the district’s baseline, or an unusually fragmented Republican vote that forces a December runoff against a unified Democratic opponent.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย