Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a strong position in the R+3 Michigan 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus at 70% implied probability reflects his double-digit 2024 reelection victory and the district's partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by 3 points per Cook PVI. A December 2025 Public Policy poll showed a narrow 44-42 edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, but no subsequent surveys have emerged to sustain that tightness. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising revealed McCann raising $1 million—bolstered by DCCC's Red to Blue designation and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement—yet Huizenga's $1.9 million cash reserves provide a resource edge ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
69%
Democratic Party
32%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$164 ปริมาณ
69%
Democratic Party
$350 ปริมาณ
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a strong position in the R+3 Michigan 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus at 70% implied probability reflects his double-digit 2024 reelection victory and the district's partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by 3 points per Cook PVI. A December 2025 Public Policy poll showed a narrow 44-42 edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, but no subsequent surveys have emerged to sustain that tightness. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising revealed McCann raising $1 million—bolstered by DCCC's Red to Blue designation and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement—yet Huizenga's $1.9 million cash reserves provide a resource edge ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$514วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a strong position in the R+3 Michigan 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus at 70% implied probability reflects his double-digit 2024 reelection victory and the district's partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by 3 points per Cook PVI. A December 2025 Public Policy poll showed a narrow 44-42 edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, but no subsequent surveys have emerged to sustain that tightness. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising revealed McCann raising $1 million—bolstered by DCCC's Red to Blue designation and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement—yet Huizenga's $1.9 million cash reserves provide a resource edge ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$514วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga holds a strong position in the R+3 Michigan 4th Congressional District, where trader consensus at 70% implied probability reflects his double-digit 2024 reelection victory and the district's partisan lean favoring GOP candidates by 3 points per Cook PVI. A December 2025 Public Policy poll showed a narrow 44-42 edge over Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann, but no subsequent surveys have emerged to sustain that tightness. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising revealed McCann raising $1 million—bolstered by DCCC's Red to Blue designation and Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's endorsement—yet Huizenga's $1.9 million cash reserves provide a resource edge ahead of the August 4 Democratic primary and November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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