**Republican incumbent Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, driving the strong market consensus for a Republican victory.** Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning the August 11 Republican primary with overwhelming support, faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary against Aly Richards. University of New Hampshire polls from June and July showed Scott leading Janoo by double digits among likely voters, though with sizable undecided shares. Analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Scott’s long record of success as a moderate in a state that leans Democratic in federal contests. No major late-breaking developments have altered the trajectory since the primaries, leaving trader pricing anchored to incumbency strength, historical voting patterns, and limited headroom for the Democratic challenger to close the gap before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$53,882 ปริมาณ
$53,882 ปริมาณ

Republican
87%

Democrat
11%
$53,882 ปริมาณ
$53,882 ปริมาณ

Republican
87%

Democrat
11%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Phil Scott holds a commanding position in the 2026 Vermont gubernatorial race, driving the strong market consensus for a Republican victory.** Scott, seeking a sixth two-year term after winning the August 11 Republican primary with overwhelming support, faces Democratic nominee Amanda Janoo, who narrowly prevailed in a competitive Democratic primary against Aly Richards. University of New Hampshire polls from June and July showed Scott leading Janoo by double digits among likely voters, though with sizable undecided shares. Analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Scott’s long record of success as a moderate in a state that leans Democratic in federal contests. No major late-breaking developments have altered the trajectory since the primaries, leaving trader pricing anchored to incumbency strength, historical voting patterns, and limited headroom for the Democratic challenger to close the gap before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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