Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, facing Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market's 93.7 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Democratic, consistent with the area's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or shifting voter trends. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout shifts could still alter outcomes before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGA-04 House Election Winner
GA-04 House Election Winner
$35,005 ปริมาณ
$35,005 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$35,005 ปริมาณ
$35,005 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,078 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$13,927 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, facing Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market's 93.7 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Democratic, consistent with the area's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or shifting voter trends. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout shifts could still alter outcomes before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,005วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, facing Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market's 93.7 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Democratic, consistent with the area's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or shifting voter trends. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout shifts could still alter outcomes before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,005วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Hank Johnson secured his party's nomination with nearly 80 percent of the vote in the May 2026 primary for Georgia's 4th congressional district, facing Republican James Duffie in the November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in a Partisan Voter Index of D+27, underpins the market's 93.7 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory. Nonpartisan ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the race as solidly Democratic, consistent with the area's consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Trader consensus aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive challengers or shifting voter trends. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or significant turnout shifts could still alter outcomes before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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