Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District (MA-05), driven by its strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 35th most Democratic nationwide—and incumbent House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched position, marked by landslide victories including 98.2% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates filed ahead of May filing deadlines. Clark's challengers in the September 1 Democratic primary, Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, trail far in fundraising, showing minimal threat. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics like a Republican wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMA-05 House Election Winner
MA-05 House Election Winner
$17,819 ปริมาณ
$17,819 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,819 ปริมาณ
$17,819 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,519 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$1,300 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District (MA-05), driven by its strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 35th most Democratic nationwide—and incumbent House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched position, marked by landslide victories including 98.2% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates filed ahead of May filing deadlines. Clark's challengers in the September 1 Democratic primary, Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, trail far in fundraising, showing minimal threat. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics like a Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,819วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District (MA-05), driven by its strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 35th most Democratic nationwide—and incumbent House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched position, marked by landslide victories including 98.2% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates filed ahead of May filing deadlines. Clark's challengers in the September 1 Democratic primary, Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, trail far in fundraising, showing minimal threat. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics like a Republican wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,819วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 94% to retain Massachusetts' 5th Congressional District (MA-05), driven by its strong D+24 Cook Partisan Voting Index—the 35th most Democratic nationwide—and incumbent House Minority Whip Katherine Clark's entrenched position, marked by landslide victories including 98.2% in 2024. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, with no Republican candidates filed ahead of May filing deadlines. Clark's challengers in the September 1 Democratic primary, Jonathan Paz and Tarik Samman, trail far in fundraising, showing minimal threat. Scenarios to challenge this include a surprise primary upset yielding a weaker nominee, late recruitment of a well-funded GOP contender, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics like a Republican wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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