Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results that have produced no Republican general election victories since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 66.5% in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 8 featuring several challengers, while Republican Brenton Awa is the main general election opponent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift from an unexpected primary result, national political wave, or late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHI-02 House Election Winner
HI-02 House Election Winner
$58,375 ปริมาณ
$58,375 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
7%
$58,375 ปริมาณ
$58,375 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$43,039 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican Party
$15,336 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results that have produced no Republican general election victories since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 66.5% in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 8 featuring several challengers, while Republican Brenton Awa is the main general election opponent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift from an unexpected primary result, national political wave, or late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,375วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results that have produced no Republican general election victories since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 66.5% in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 8 featuring several challengers, while Republican Brenton Awa is the main general election opponent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift from an unexpected primary result, national political wave, or late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the HI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$58,375วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Hawaii's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent historical results that have produced no Republican general election victories since 1988. Incumbent Democrat Jill Tokuda, first elected in 2022 and re-elected with 66.5% in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 8 featuring several challengers, while Republican Brenton Awa is the main general election opponent. Nonpartisan analysts rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan composition and limited statewide Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors, though outcomes could shift from an unexpected primary result, national political wave, or late developments affecting turnout among key voting blocs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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