Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primaries for New York’s 3rd congressional district, a North Shore Long Island and Queens seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. The district’s partisan voting index near even, combined with Suozzi’s 2024 re-election margin of roughly 4 points, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican primary contenders Gregory Hach and Michael LiPetri Jr. have yet to consolidate support or match Democratic spending, while Democratic challenger Danielle Welch remains underfunded. With the general election still five months away, scheduled primaries and subsequent campaign resource allocation represent the next measurable catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-03 House Election Winner
NY-03 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
15%
Democratic Party
55%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$160 ปริมาณ
15%
Democratic Party
$800 ปริมาณ
55%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primaries for New York’s 3rd congressional district, a North Shore Long Island and Queens seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. The district’s partisan voting index near even, combined with Suozzi’s 2024 re-election margin of roughly 4 points, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican primary contenders Gregory Hach and Michael LiPetri Jr. have yet to consolidate support or match Democratic spending, while Democratic challenger Danielle Welch remains underfunded. With the general election still five months away, scheduled primaries and subsequent campaign resource allocation represent the next measurable catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$955วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primaries for New York’s 3rd congressional district, a North Shore Long Island and Queens seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. The district’s partisan voting index near even, combined with Suozzi’s 2024 re-election margin of roughly 4 points, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican primary contenders Gregory Hach and Michael LiPetri Jr. have yet to consolidate support or match Democratic spending, while Democratic challenger Danielle Welch remains underfunded. With the general election still five months away, scheduled primaries and subsequent campaign resource allocation represent the next measurable catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$955วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Tom Suozzi holds a fundraising and name-recognition edge heading into the June 23 primaries for New York’s 3rd congressional district, a North Shore Long Island and Queens seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report and Inside Elections. The district’s partisan voting index near even, combined with Suozzi’s 2024 re-election margin of roughly 4 points, underpins the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Republican primary contenders Gregory Hach and Michael LiPetri Jr. have yet to consolidate support or match Democratic spending, while Democratic challenger Danielle Welch remains underfunded. With the general election still five months away, scheduled primaries and subsequent campaign resource allocation represent the next measurable catalysts that could shift implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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