Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting New Mexico's partisan lean and Luján's established record in Congress. The Republican nominee, Larry Marker, advanced via write-in after no candidates qualified for the primary ballot, limiting organized opposition and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing these odds as high as 94.5 percent for Democrats incorporates the state's voting history and the absence of competitive challengers. A significant shift would require major developments such as an unforeseen scandal or national political realignment altering turnout patterns before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Mexico Senate Election Winner
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
$17,109 ปริมาณ
$17,109 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
3%
$17,109 ปริมาณ
$17,109 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$8,229 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican
$8,880 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting New Mexico's partisan lean and Luján's established record in Congress. The Republican nominee, Larry Marker, advanced via write-in after no candidates qualified for the primary ballot, limiting organized opposition and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing these odds as high as 94.5 percent for Democrats incorporates the state's voting history and the absence of competitive challengers. A significant shift would require major developments such as an unforeseen scandal or national political realignment altering turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,109วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting New Mexico's partisan lean and Luján's established record in Congress. The Republican nominee, Larry Marker, advanced via write-in after no candidates qualified for the primary ballot, limiting organized opposition and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing these odds as high as 94.5 percent for Democrats incorporates the state's voting history and the absence of competitive challengers. A significant shift would require major developments such as an unforeseen scandal or national political realignment altering turnout patterns before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,109วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Sen. Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination with over 83 percent in the June 2026 primary, facing only token opposition in a state that has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002. Nonpartisan race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting New Mexico's partisan lean and Luján's established record in Congress. The Republican nominee, Larry Marker, advanced via write-in after no candidates qualified for the primary ballot, limiting organized opposition and fundraising. Trader consensus pricing these odds as high as 94.5 percent for Democrats incorporates the state's voting history and the absence of competitive challengers. A significant shift would require major developments such as an unforeseen scandal or national political realignment altering turnout patterns before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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