Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him as the clear favorite in the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and recent polling shows Luján maintaining double-digit leads consistent with the state's Democratic lean and his incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Traders reflect this consensus in the 95 percent range for the Democrat. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the race, though the current nominee Larry Marker faces structural challenges as a write-in candidate with minimal primary support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Mexico Senate Election Winner
New Mexico Senate Election Winner
$18,709 ปริมาณ
$18,709 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
3%
$18,709 ปริมาณ
$18,709 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$9,612 ปริมาณ
95%
Republican
$9,097 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him as the clear favorite in the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and recent polling shows Luján maintaining double-digit leads consistent with the state's Democratic lean and his incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Traders reflect this consensus in the 95 percent range for the Democrat. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the race, though the current nominee Larry Marker faces structural challenges as a write-in candidate with minimal primary support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,709วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him as the clear favorite in the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and recent polling shows Luján maintaining double-digit leads consistent with the state's Democratic lean and his incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Traders reflect this consensus in the 95 percent range for the Democrat. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the race, though the current nominee Larry Marker faces structural challenges as a write-in candidate with minimal primary support.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Mexico U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,709วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Senator Ben Ray Luján secured his party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited opposition, positioning him as the clear favorite in the general election. New Mexico has not elected a Republican to the Senate since 2002, and recent polling shows Luján maintaining double-digit leads consistent with the state's Democratic lean and his incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition. Traders reflect this consensus in the 95 percent range for the Democrat. A major scandal, significant health development, or unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the race, though the current nominee Larry Marker faces structural challenges as a write-in candidate with minimal primary support.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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