Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, his long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance with over 67 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, yet polling averages still show Risch ahead by roughly 18 to 25 points amid Idaho's 36-point Republican presidential margin from 2024. Risch's fundraising edge exceeds $3 million compared to Achilles's roughly $700,000, reinforced by a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only through an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment that alters the state's partisan fundamentals before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R) 95.8%
Democrat 3.2%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,321 ปริมาณ
$33,321 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Democrat
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Jim Risch (R) 95.8%
Democrat 3.2%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.1%
$33,321 ปริมาณ
$33,321 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$18,749 ปริมาณ
96%
Democrat
$14,397 ปริมาณ
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, his long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance with over 67 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, yet polling averages still show Risch ahead by roughly 18 to 25 points amid Idaho's 36-point Republican presidential margin from 2024. Risch's fundraising edge exceeds $3 million compared to Achilles's roughly $700,000, reinforced by a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only through an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment that alters the state's partisan fundamentals before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,321วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, his long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance with over 67 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, yet polling averages still show Risch ahead by roughly 18 to 25 points amid Idaho's 36-point Republican presidential margin from 2024. Risch's fundraising edge exceeds $3 million compared to Achilles's roughly $700,000, reinforced by a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only through an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment that alters the state's partisan fundamentals before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,321วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Idaho Senate race due to the state's consistent Republican dominance, his long tenure since 2009, and strong primary performance with over 67 percent of the vote. The Democratic nominee's withdrawal in July consolidated opposition support behind independent challenger Todd Achilles, yet polling averages still show Risch ahead by roughly 18 to 25 points amid Idaho's 36-point Republican presidential margin from 2024. Risch's fundraising edge exceeds $3 million compared to Achilles's roughly $700,000, reinforced by a recent endorsement from former Governor Butch Otter. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only through an unforeseen scandal, health event, or sharp national realignment that alters the state's partisan fundamentals before ballots are cast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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