Incumbent Republican Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the November 3 general election. Idaho's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the absence of a Democratic victory in the state since 1974, underpins the market's assessment of a Republican win as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by wide margins even after accounting for independent and third-party support. A Republican outcome could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$17,465 ปริมาณ
$17,465 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
7%
$17,465 ปริมาณ
$17,465 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$12,247 ปริมาณ
92%
Democrat
$5,218 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the November 3 general election. Idaho's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the absence of a Democratic victory in the state since 1974, underpins the market's assessment of a Republican win as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by wide margins even after accounting for independent and third-party support. A Republican outcome could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,465วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the November 3 general election. Idaho's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the absence of a Democratic victory in the state since 1974, underpins the market's assessment of a Republican win as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by wide margins even after accounting for independent and third-party support. A Republican outcome could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,465วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jim Risch secured his party's nomination in the May 19 primary with 67 percent of the vote against limited challengers, while Democrat David Roth advanced as his party's nominee for the November 3 general election. Idaho's strong Republican lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins for GOP Senate candidates and the absence of a Democratic victory in the state since 1974, underpins the market's assessment of a Republican win as the clear frontrunner. Recent polling shows Risch ahead by wide margins even after accounting for independent and third-party support. A Republican outcome could shift only in the event of an unforeseen scandal, health development, or dramatic national political realignment before November.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย