Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Risch's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 91.5%, bolstered by his recent re-election announcement, endorsement from President Trump, and dominant fundraising with over $3.8 million cash on hand as of late March ahead of the May 19 primaries. Idaho has elected only Republicans to the Senate since 1981, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Solid or Safe Republican amid weak Democratic challengers like David Roth and independents such as Todd Achilles trailing in the sole March Public Policy Polling survey (Risch 48%, Achilles 34%). While a primary upset producing a flawed nominee, major scandal, Risch's health issues at age 83, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedents suggest formidable barriers to a non-GOP outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
$12,529 ปริมาณ
$12,529 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
92%
Democrat
8%
$12,529 ปริมาณ
$12,529 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,437 ปริมาณ
92%
Democrat
$4,092 ปริมาณ
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Risch's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 91.5%, bolstered by his recent re-election announcement, endorsement from President Trump, and dominant fundraising with over $3.8 million cash on hand as of late March ahead of the May 19 primaries. Idaho has elected only Republicans to the Senate since 1981, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Solid or Safe Republican amid weak Democratic challengers like David Roth and independents such as Todd Achilles trailing in the sole March Public Policy Polling survey (Risch 48%, Achilles 34%). While a primary upset producing a flawed nominee, major scandal, Risch's health issues at age 83, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedents suggest formidable barriers to a non-GOP outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,529วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Risch's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 91.5%, bolstered by his recent re-election announcement, endorsement from President Trump, and dominant fundraising with over $3.8 million cash on hand as of late March ahead of the May 19 primaries. Idaho has elected only Republicans to the Senate since 1981, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Solid or Safe Republican amid weak Democratic challengers like David Roth and independents such as Todd Achilles trailing in the sole March Public Policy Polling survey (Risch 48%, Achilles 34%). While a primary upset producing a flawed nominee, major scandal, Risch's health issues at age 83, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedents suggest formidable barriers to a non-GOP outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,529วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Risch's commanding position drives trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 91.5%, bolstered by his recent re-election announcement, endorsement from President Trump, and dominant fundraising with over $3.8 million cash on hand as of late March ahead of the May 19 primaries. Idaho has elected only Republicans to the Senate since 1981, with forecasters unanimously rating the race Solid or Safe Republican amid weak Democratic challengers like David Roth and independents such as Todd Achilles trailing in the sole March Public Policy Polling survey (Risch 48%, Achilles 34%). While a primary upset producing a flawed nominee, major scandal, Risch's health issues at age 83, or extraordinary national midterm dynamics could shift odds, historical precedents suggest formidable barriers to a non-GOP outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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