Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates trader consensus at 95% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the competitive CA-22 Central Valley battleground district, driven by his superior fundraising—$4.1 million raised overall and over $1 million in Q1 alone, announced April 17—bolstering his incumbency advantage amid new redistricting lines favoring Republicans slightly. The fight for the second spot features Democrats Jasmeet Bains (44%) and Randy Villegas (57%), whose neck-and-neck cash reserves near $700,000 each reflect a party split between establishment backers for Bains and grassroots support for Villegas, with no California Democratic Party endorsement. Voter registration closes May 18; absent recent polls, Cook rates the general Lean R.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-22 Primary Winners
CA-22 Primary Winners
ใหม่
Jun 2, 2026
David Valadao
95%
Randy Villegas
55%
Jasmeet Bains
39%
Chris Mathys
7%
Rudy Salas
5%
$970 ปริมาณ
David Valadao
$334 ปริมาณ
95%
Randy Villegas
$231 ปริมาณ
55%
Jasmeet Bains
$78 ปริมาณ
39%
Chris Mathys
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
Rudy Salas
$327 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates trader consensus at 95% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the competitive CA-22 Central Valley battleground district, driven by his superior fundraising—$4.1 million raised overall and over $1 million in Q1 alone, announced April 17—bolstering his incumbency advantage amid new redistricting lines favoring Republicans slightly. The fight for the second spot features Democrats Jasmeet Bains (44%) and Randy Villegas (57%), whose neck-and-neck cash reserves near $700,000 each reflect a party split between establishment backers for Bains and grassroots support for Villegas, with no California Democratic Party endorsement. Voter registration closes May 18; absent recent polls, Cook rates the general Lean R.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$970วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates trader consensus at 95% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the competitive CA-22 Central Valley battleground district, driven by his superior fundraising—$4.1 million raised overall and over $1 million in Q1 alone, announced April 17—bolstering his incumbency advantage amid new redistricting lines favoring Republicans slightly. The fight for the second spot features Democrats Jasmeet Bains (44%) and Randy Villegas (57%), whose neck-and-neck cash reserves near $700,000 each reflect a party split between establishment backers for Bains and grassroots support for Villegas, with no California Democratic Party endorsement. Voter registration closes May 18; absent recent polls, Cook rates the general Lean R.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 22nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$970วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 11, 2025, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. David Valadao (R) dominates trader consensus at 95% implied probability to advance from California's June 2 top-two primary in the competitive CA-22 Central Valley battleground district, driven by his superior fundraising—$4.1 million raised overall and over $1 million in Q1 alone, announced April 17—bolstering his incumbency advantage amid new redistricting lines favoring Republicans slightly. The fight for the second spot features Democrats Jasmeet Bains (44%) and Randy Villegas (57%), whose neck-and-neck cash reserves near $700,000 each reflect a party split between establishment backers for Bains and grassroots support for Villegas, with no California Democratic Party endorsement. Voter registration closes May 18; absent recent polls, Cook rates the general Lean R.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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