DeepSeek's official announcement today of its V4 preview models—DeepSeek-V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active via Mixture-of-Experts architecture) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active)—has locked in trader consensus at 99.7% for release on or prior to April 24, as the open-source weights hit Hugging Face, with immediate availability on web, app, and API supporting 1M-token context lengths and top-tier agentic coding benchmarks. This caps months of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and mid-April launch rumors, positioning DeepSeek competitively against closed-source leaders like GPT and Claude. While the preview label introduces minimal ambiguity, any dispute over full vs. preview status could theoretically challenge resolution, though skin-in-the-game traders see it as definitive given public access and tech report details.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOn or prior to April 24 100.0%
April 25 <1%
April 26 <1%
April 27 <1%
ใหม่
$38,086 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$38,086 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
On or prior to April 24
100%
April 25
<1%
April 26
<1%
April 27
<1%
April 28
<1%
April 29
<1%
April 30
<1%
May 1
<1%
May 2
<1%
May 3
<1%
May 4
<1%
May 5
<1%
May 6
<1%
May 7
<1%
May 8
<1%
May 9
<1%
May 10
<1%
May 11
<1%
May 12
<1%
May 13
<1%
May 14
<1%
May 15
<1%
Not released by May 15
<1%
On or prior to April 24 100.0%
April 25 <1%
April 26 <1%
April 27 <1%
ใหม่
$38,086 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$38,086 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
On or prior to April 24
$15,937 ปริมาณ
100%
April 25
$243 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 26
$200 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 27
$242 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 28
$619 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 29
$535 ปริมาณ
<1%
April 30
$624 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 1
$807 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 2
$633 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 3
$654 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 4
$653 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 5
$672 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 6
$1,131 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 7
$708 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 8
$650 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 9
$435 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 10
$679 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 11
$535 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 12
$451 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 13
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 14
$450 ปริมาณ
<1%
May 15
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
Not released by May 15
$10,377 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek's official announcement today of its V4 preview models—DeepSeek-V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active via Mixture-of-Experts architecture) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active)—has locked in trader consensus at 99.7% for release on or prior to April 24, as the open-source weights hit Hugging Face, with immediate availability on web, app, and API supporting 1M-token context lengths and top-tier agentic coding benchmarks. This caps months of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and mid-April launch rumors, positioning DeepSeek competitively against closed-source leaders like GPT and Claude. While the preview label introduces minimal ambiguity, any dispute over full vs. preview status could theoretically challenge resolution, though skin-in-the-game traders see it as definitive given public access and tech report details.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,086วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน
สิ้นสุด
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek's official announcement today of its V4 preview models—DeepSeek-V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active via Mixture-of-Experts architecture) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active)—has locked in trader consensus at 99.7% for release on or prior to April 24, as the open-source weights hit Hugging Face, with immediate availability on web, app, and API supporting 1M-token context lengths and top-tier agentic coding benchmarks. This caps months of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and mid-April launch rumors, positioning DeepSeek competitively against closed-source leaders like GPT and Claude. While the preview label introduces minimal ambiguity, any dispute over full vs. preview status could theoretically challenge resolution, though skin-in-the-game traders see it as definitive given public access and tech report details.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which the next DeepSeek V model is made available to the general public.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Intermediate versions (e.g., DeepSeek-V3.5) will not count; however, versions such as DeepSeek V4 or V5 would count.
The "next DeepSeek V model" refers to the next major release in the DeepSeek V series, explicitly named as such or clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3.
Only releases representing a core version progression in the DeepSeek V series, “clearly positioned as a successor to DeepSeek-V3,” will qualify. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specialized models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview releases (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), that are not positioned as the new V flagship model, will not qualify.
To qualify, the next DeepSeek V model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,086วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 23, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ช่วงเวลาคัดค้าน
สิ้นสุด
DeepSeek's official announcement today of its V4 preview models—DeepSeek-V4-Pro (1.6T total parameters, 49B active via Mixture-of-Experts architecture) and V4-Flash (284B total, 13B active)—has locked in trader consensus at 99.7% for release on or prior to April 24, as the open-source weights hit Hugging Face, with immediate availability on web, app, and API supporting 1M-token context lengths and top-tier agentic coding benchmarks. This caps months of buildup from Reuters reports on Huawei chip integration and mid-April launch rumors, positioning DeepSeek competitively against closed-source leaders like GPT and Claude. While the preview label introduces minimal ambiguity, any dispute over full vs. preview status could theoretically challenge resolution, though skin-in-the-game traders see it as definitive given public access and tech report details.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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