Trader consensus heavily favors no change in key ECB interest rates at the April 30, 2026 Governing Council meeting, reflecting ECB officials' recent statements downplaying hikes or cuts amid insufficient evidence of persistent inflation pressures. March euro area HICP inflation rose to 2.6% year-on-year, exceeding the 2% target primarily due to surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, yet policymakers like those cited on April 15-16 emphasized awaiting further data on wage growth, labor markets, and inflation expectations before acting—consistent with unchanged rates at the March 19 and February 5 meetings. Scenarios challenging this include a sharp April flash CPI surge prompting a hike or unexpected economic weakening signaling a cut, though soft labor markets limit the latter.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วอัตราดอกเบี้ย ECB: เมษายน 2026
อัตราดอกเบี้ย ECB: เมษายน 2026
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 97.2%
การปรับขึ้น 2.8%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ลดลง 25 จุดเบี้ย <1%
$736,579 ปริมาณ
$736,579 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
<1%
ลดลง 25 จุดเบี้ย
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
97%
การปรับขึ้น
3%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง 97.2%
การปรับขึ้น 2.8%
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน <1%
ลดลง 25 จุดเบี้ย <1%
$736,579 ปริมาณ
$736,579 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
ลดลงมากกว่า 50 จุดพื้นฐาน
$151,156 ปริมาณ
<1%
ลดลง 25 จุดเบี้ย
$112,383 ปริมาณ
<1%
ไม่มีการเปลี่ยนแปลง
$224,878 ปริมาณ
97%
การปรับขึ้น
$248,163 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus heavily favors no change in key ECB interest rates at the April 30, 2026 Governing Council meeting, reflecting ECB officials' recent statements downplaying hikes or cuts amid insufficient evidence of persistent inflation pressures. March euro area HICP inflation rose to 2.6% year-on-year, exceeding the 2% target primarily due to surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, yet policymakers like those cited on April 15-16 emphasized awaiting further data on wage growth, labor markets, and inflation expectations before acting—consistent with unchanged rates at the March 19 and February 5 meetings. Scenarios challenging this include a sharp April flash CPI surge prompting a hike or unexpected economic weakening signaling a cut, though soft labor markets limit the latter.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$736,579วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Trader consensus heavily favors no change in key ECB interest rates at the April 30, 2026 Governing Council meeting, reflecting ECB officials' recent statements downplaying hikes or cuts amid insufficient evidence of persistent inflation pressures. March euro area HICP inflation rose to 2.6% year-on-year, exceeding the 2% target primarily due to surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, yet policymakers like those cited on April 15-16 emphasized awaiting further data on wage growth, labor markets, and inflation expectations before acting—consistent with unchanged rates at the March 19 and February 5 meetings. Scenarios challenging this include a sharp April flash CPI surge prompting a hike or unexpected economic weakening signaling a cut, though soft labor markets limit the latter.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) April 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its April 30, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the April 30, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$736,579วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 6, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no change in key ECB interest rates at the April 30, 2026 Governing Council meeting, reflecting ECB officials' recent statements downplaying hikes or cuts amid insufficient evidence of persistent inflation pressures. March euro area HICP inflation rose to 2.6% year-on-year, exceeding the 2% target primarily due to surging energy costs from the Iran conflict, yet policymakers like those cited on April 15-16 emphasized awaiting further data on wage growth, labor markets, and inflation expectations before acting—consistent with unchanged rates at the March 19 and February 5 meetings. Scenarios challenging this include a sharp April flash CPI surge prompting a hike or unexpected economic weakening signaling a cut, though soft labor markets limit the latter.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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