Eurozone inflation climbed to 3.2% in May 2026, its highest level since 2023, fueled by elevated energy costs amid ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to leave its deposit facility rate unchanged at 2.00% following the April meeting while signaling that a 25-basis-point hike is firmly under consideration for the June 11 decision. Recent Governing Council commentary and economist surveys now assign high probability to tightening, reflecting concerns over second-round effects and anchored but elevated short-term inflation expectations. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25-basis-point increase, consistent with data-dependent policy that prioritizes returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. A rapid de-escalation in energy prices or materially softer core readings ahead of the meeting remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วECB Interest Rates: June 2026
ECB Interest Rates: June 2026
25 bps Increase 98.2%
No change 1.8%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$628,038 ปริมาณ
$628,038 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
2%
25 bps Increase
98%
50+ bps increase
<1%
25 bps Increase 98.2%
No change 1.8%
50+ bps increase <1%
50+ bps decrease <1%
$628,038 ปริมาณ
$628,038 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$101,831 ปริมาณ
<1%
25 bps decrease
$115,465 ปริมาณ
<1%
No change
$129,881 ปริมาณ
2%
25 bps Increase
$150,147 ปริมาณ
98%
50+ bps increase
$130,714 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Eurozone inflation climbed to 3.2% in May 2026, its highest level since 2023, fueled by elevated energy costs amid ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to leave its deposit facility rate unchanged at 2.00% following the April meeting while signaling that a 25-basis-point hike is firmly under consideration for the June 11 decision. Recent Governing Council commentary and economist surveys now assign high probability to tightening, reflecting concerns over second-round effects and anchored but elevated short-term inflation expectations. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25-basis-point increase, consistent with data-dependent policy that prioritizes returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. A rapid de-escalation in energy prices or materially softer core readings ahead of the meeting remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$628,038วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.Eurozone inflation climbed to 3.2% in May 2026, its highest level since 2023, fueled by elevated energy costs amid ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to leave its deposit facility rate unchanged at 2.00% following the April meeting while signaling that a 25-basis-point hike is firmly under consideration for the June 11 decision. Recent Governing Council commentary and economist surveys now assign high probability to tightening, reflecting concerns over second-round effects and anchored but elevated short-term inflation expectations. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25-basis-point increase, consistent with data-dependent policy that prioritizes returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. A rapid de-escalation in energy prices or materially softer core readings ahead of the meeting remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the deposit facility rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the European Central Bank's (ECB) June 2026 meeting.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
If the deposit facility rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the deposit facility rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the European Central Bank after its June 11, 2026 monetary policy meeting, as listed on the official ECB calendar:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html
The level and change of the deposit facility rate is also published at the official ECB interest rates page:
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html
This market may resolve as soon as the ECB releases its interest rate decision following the June 11, 2026, meeting.
If no interest rate decision or update is published by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the “No change” bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$628,038วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 19, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Eurozone inflation climbed to 3.2% in May 2026, its highest level since 2023, fueled by elevated energy costs amid ongoing Middle East geopolitical tensions. This upside surprise prompted the ECB to leave its deposit facility rate unchanged at 2.00% following the April meeting while signaling that a 25-basis-point hike is firmly under consideration for the June 11 decision. Recent Governing Council commentary and economist surveys now assign high probability to tightening, reflecting concerns over second-round effects and anchored but elevated short-term inflation expectations. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 25-basis-point increase, consistent with data-dependent policy that prioritizes returning inflation sustainably to the 2% target. A rapid de-escalation in energy prices or materially softer core readings ahead of the meeting remain the primary factors that could still alter the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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