The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s 74.5% implied probability stems primarily from its record nine Emmy nominations in a final season that concluded in May, creating a compelling swan-song narrative ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, allowing multiple winners if nominees clear a high approval threshold, which amplifies the emotional case for the canceled CBS program after its prior talk series win. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the perennial critical favorite but faces diluted momentum under the updated rules, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! at 3.4%, Saturday Night Live at 2.5%, and The Daily Show at 2.1% trail amid competition from Colbert’s guild-level recognition and final-season push. Final voting wrapped in late August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.6%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 3.5%
“Saturday Night Live” 3.4%
$106,961 ปริมาณ
$106,961 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
9%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
3%
“Saturday Night Live”
3%
“The Daily Show”
3%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 8.6%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 3.5%
“Saturday Night Live” 3.4%
$106,961 ปริมาณ
$106,961 ปริมาณ
Sep 14, 2026
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
$34,621 ปริมาณ
75%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
$20,493 ปริมาณ
9%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
$25,407 ปริมาณ
3%
“Saturday Night Live”
$12,635 ปริมาณ
3%
“The Daily Show”
$13,805 ปริมาณ
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s 74.5% implied probability stems primarily from its record nine Emmy nominations in a final season that concluded in May, creating a compelling swan-song narrative ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, allowing multiple winners if nominees clear a high approval threshold, which amplifies the emotional case for the canceled CBS program after its prior talk series win. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the perennial critical favorite but faces diluted momentum under the updated rules, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! at 3.4%, Saturday Night Live at 2.5%, and The Daily Show at 2.1% trail amid competition from Colbert’s guild-level recognition and final-season push. Final voting wrapped in late August.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,961วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s 74.5% implied probability stems primarily from its record nine Emmy nominations in a final season that concluded in May, creating a compelling swan-song narrative ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, allowing multiple winners if nominees clear a high approval threshold, which amplifies the emotional case for the canceled CBS program after its prior talk series win. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the perennial critical favorite but faces diluted momentum under the updated rules, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! at 3.4%, Saturday Night Live at 2.5%, and The Daily Show at 2.1% trail amid competition from Colbert’s guild-level recognition and final-season push. Final voting wrapped in late August.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$106,961วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show With Stephen Colbert’s 74.5% implied probability stems primarily from its record nine Emmy nominations in a final season that concluded in May, creating a compelling swan-song narrative ahead of the September 14 ceremony. The newly merged Outstanding Variety Series category operates as an area award, allowing multiple winners if nominees clear a high approval threshold, which amplifies the emotional case for the canceled CBS program after its prior talk series win. Last Week Tonight With John Oliver sits at 8.5% as the perennial critical favorite but faces diluted momentum under the updated rules, while Jimmy Kimmel Live! at 3.4%, Saturday Night Live at 2.5%, and The Daily Show at 2.1% trail amid competition from Colbert’s guild-level recognition and final-season push. Final voting wrapped in late August.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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