Apple TV+ has surged to an 87.8% market-implied probability of claiming the most Emmys at the 78th Primetime Awards, driven by its dominant showing in the completed Creative Arts ceremonies where it already holds a 19–20 win lead. Strong technical and creative hauls for breakout comedy *Widow’s Bay* and drama *Pluribus* have created momentum that major categories on September 14 could extend, especially in comedy acting, writing, and directing. HBO Max’s 122 nominations, led by *The Pitt* and *Hacks*, keep it in contention at 12% odds but leave it trailing early results. Netflix sits far behind despite 111 nods, while the 50% probability on “Other” reflects the narrow gap and possibility of a tie or surprise surge in the final telecast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhich streaming service will win the most Emmys?
Apple TV 87.8%
HBO Max 12.0%
Netflix <1%
Hulu <1%
$108,273 ปริมาณ
$108,273 ปริมาณ

Apple TV
88%

HBO Max
12%

Netflix
<1%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
Apple TV 87.8%
HBO Max 12.0%
Netflix <1%
Hulu <1%
$108,273 ปริมาณ
$108,273 ปริมาณ

Apple TV
88%

HBO Max
12%

Netflix
<1%

Hulu
<1%

Disney+
<1%

Prime Video
<1%

Peacock
<1%

Paramount+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the streaming service which wins the greatest number of Emmys at the 78th Primetime Emmy Awards.
An Emmy will be attributed to a streaming service if the show for which the award is won is officially attributed to that streaming service, whether the recipient is a person, the show itself, or any other entity. For example, if Steve Carell wins "Outstanding Lead Actor In A Comedy Series" for his performance in "Rooster", that win would be attributed to HBO Max.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of Emmys, this market will resolve in favor of the streaming service whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order.
If all 78th Primetime Emmy Awards have not been awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the Emmys awarded up until that point. If no Emmys are awarded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Television Academy, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.televisionacademy.com/), and the live broadcasts of the Creative Arts Emmys and the Primetime Emmy Awards ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Apple TV+ has surged to an 87.8% market-implied probability of claiming the most Emmys at the 78th Primetime Awards, driven by its dominant showing in the completed Creative Arts ceremonies where it already holds a 19–20 win lead. Strong technical and creative hauls for breakout comedy *Widow’s Bay* and drama *Pluribus* have created momentum that major categories on September 14 could extend, especially in comedy acting, writing, and directing. HBO Max’s 122 nominations, led by *The Pitt* and *Hacks*, keep it in contention at 12% odds but leave it trailing early results. Netflix sits far behind despite 111 nods, while the 50% probability on “Other” reflects the narrow gap and possibility of a tie or surprise surge in the final telecast.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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