Ongoing parliamentary deadlock in France since the 2024 legislative elections has produced repeated no-confidence threats against minority governments, sustaining speculation that President Macron may dissolve the National Assembly and call snap legislative elections before the scheduled 2029 contest. Macron retains constitutional authority to dissolve the chamber under Article 12, subject to the one-year post-2024 restriction that has now expired, though no such move has been announced through late May 2026. Recent budget negotiations, government instability, and statements from allies and opposition figures have kept the possibility in focus, while scheduled parliamentary votes and coalition talks in the coming weeks could alter the political calculus for any early dissolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,062,259 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
1%
$1,062,259 ปริมาณ
30 มิถุนายน 2026
1%
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 22, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing parliamentary deadlock in France since the 2024 legislative elections has produced repeated no-confidence threats against minority governments, sustaining speculation that President Macron may dissolve the National Assembly and call snap legislative elections before the scheduled 2029 contest. Macron retains constitutional authority to dissolve the chamber under Article 12, subject to the one-year post-2024 restriction that has now expired, though no such move has been announced through late May 2026. Recent budget negotiations, government instability, and statements from allies and opposition figures have kept the possibility in focus, while scheduled parliamentary votes and coalition talks in the coming weeks could alter the political calculus for any early dissolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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