Recent forecast models and real-time observations position 21°C as the leading outcome for Paris's September 9 maximum, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus on partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and stable high pressure suppressing stronger warming. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach 22.4°C, though recent days showed slightly elevated readings before a modest cooldown. Hourly projections from sources like GFS data peak near 21–22°C in the afternoon, with limited model spread and no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily as resolution nears, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on September 9?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 9?
21°C 63%
22°C 29%
20°C 7%
23°C 3%
ใหม่
$28,054 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$28,054 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
63%
22°C
29%
23°C
3%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 63%
22°C 29%
20°C 7%
23°C 3%
ใหม่
$28,054 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$28,054 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
16°C or below
$2,379 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$359 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$763 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$1,253 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$2,876 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$4,825 ปริมาณ
63%
22°C
$7,759 ปริมาณ
29%
23°C
$2,733 ปริมาณ
3%
24°C
$1,309 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$1,388 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$2,410 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and real-time observations position 21°C as the leading outcome for Paris's September 9 maximum, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus on partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and stable high pressure suppressing stronger warming. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach 22.4°C, though recent days showed slightly elevated readings before a modest cooldown. Hourly projections from sources like GFS data peak near 21–22°C in the afternoon, with limited model spread and no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily as resolution nears, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,054วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models and real-time observations position 21°C as the leading outcome for Paris's September 9 maximum, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus on partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and stable high pressure suppressing stronger warming. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach 22.4°C, though recent days showed slightly elevated readings before a modest cooldown. Hourly projections from sources like GFS data peak near 21–22°C in the afternoon, with limited model spread and no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily as resolution nears, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,054วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models and real-time observations position 21°C as the leading outcome for Paris's September 9 maximum, with market-implied odds reflecting consensus on partly cloudy skies, moderate northwest winds, and stable high pressure suppressing stronger warming. These conditions align with climatological norms for early September, where average highs reach 22.4°C, though recent days showed slightly elevated readings before a modest cooldown. Hourly projections from sources like GFS data peak near 21–22°C in the afternoon, with limited model spread and no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification expected. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric factors heavily as resolution nears, while acknowledging minor uncertainty from localized variations or final observational adjustments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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