Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Milan on September 9, driven by an advancing cooler air mass, widespread cloud cover, and periods of moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Official guidance highlights high precipitation probabilities exceeding 80–90% through the afternoon, consistent with suppressed surface temperatures relative to recent warmer days earlier in the month. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 82% implied probability, while the modest 13% on 25°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Lower outcomes remain negligible given typical mid-September baselines and observed morning readings near 20–21°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies such as the Italian meteorological service will refine resolution as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on September 9?
24°C 84%
25°C 11%
26°C 4%
27°C or higher 2%
$47,235 ปริมาณ
$47,235 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
84%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
24°C 84%
25°C 11%
26°C 4%
27°C or higher 2%
$47,235 ปริมาณ
$47,235 ปริมาณ
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
84%
25°C
11%
26°C
4%
27°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a daily maximum of 23–24°C in Milan on September 9, driven by an advancing cooler air mass, widespread cloud cover, and periods of moderate to heavy rain and thunderstorms that limit daytime heating. Official guidance highlights high precipitation probabilities exceeding 80–90% through the afternoon, consistent with suppressed surface temperatures relative to recent warmer days earlier in the month. This consensus underpins the market's strong preference for 24°C at 82% implied probability, while the modest 13% on 25°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact rainfall timing or localized clearing. Lower outcomes remain negligible given typical mid-September baselines and observed morning readings near 20–21°C. Updated model runs and real-time observations from agencies such as the Italian meteorological service will refine resolution as the day progresses.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย