**Trader consensus centers on an 80-81°F high for Chicago on September 11, reflecting official National Weather Service and model guidance for sunny conditions under high pressure centered over the eastern Great Lakes.** Light easterly winds off Lake Michigan are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting inland peaks to the low 80s while keeping lakeside readings in the mid-70s. This setup follows several days of above-normal warmth earlier in September and aligns with the 1991-2020 average high of roughly 78°F for the date. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with peak readings most likely between 79-82°F depending on exact station location and timing of maximum insolation. The market-implied probabilities closely track these forecasts, with only low odds assigned to outcomes above 82°F or below 78°F given the stable atmospheric pattern and absence of stronger advection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on September 11?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 11?
80-81°F 69%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 2%
ใหม่
$20,140 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,140 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
22%
80-81°F
69%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 69%
78-79°F 22%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 2%
ใหม่
$20,140 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$20,140 ปริมาณ
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
$745 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$477 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$333 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$2,226 ปริมาณ
2%
78-79°F
$6,767 ปริมาณ
22%
80-81°F
$4,197 ปริมาณ
69%
82-83°F
$2,296 ปริมาณ
11%
84-85°F
$1,294 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,334 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$316 ปริมาณ
<1%
90°F or higher
$156 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on an 80-81°F high for Chicago on September 11, reflecting official National Weather Service and model guidance for sunny conditions under high pressure centered over the eastern Great Lakes.** Light easterly winds off Lake Michigan are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting inland peaks to the low 80s while keeping lakeside readings in the mid-70s. This setup follows several days of above-normal warmth earlier in September and aligns with the 1991-2020 average high of roughly 78°F for the date. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with peak readings most likely between 79-82°F depending on exact station location and timing of maximum insolation. The market-implied probabilities closely track these forecasts, with only low odds assigned to outcomes above 82°F or below 78°F given the stable atmospheric pattern and absence of stronger advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,140วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus centers on an 80-81°F high for Chicago on September 11, reflecting official National Weather Service and model guidance for sunny conditions under high pressure centered over the eastern Great Lakes.** Light easterly winds off Lake Michigan are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting inland peaks to the low 80s while keeping lakeside readings in the mid-70s. This setup follows several days of above-normal warmth earlier in September and aligns with the 1991-2020 average high of roughly 78°F for the date. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with peak readings most likely between 79-82°F depending on exact station location and timing of maximum insolation. The market-implied probabilities closely track these forecasts, with only low odds assigned to outcomes above 82°F or below 78°F given the stable atmospheric pattern and absence of stronger advection.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,140วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 3:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on an 80-81°F high for Chicago on September 11, reflecting official National Weather Service and model guidance for sunny conditions under high pressure centered over the eastern Great Lakes.** Light easterly winds off Lake Michigan are expected to moderate temperatures, limiting inland peaks to the low 80s while keeping lakeside readings in the mid-70s. This setup follows several days of above-normal warmth earlier in September and aligns with the 1991-2020 average high of roughly 78°F for the date. Model runs show minimal disagreement, with peak readings most likely between 79-82°F depending on exact station location and timing of maximum insolation. The market-implied probabilities closely track these forecasts, with only low odds assigned to outcomes above 82°F or below 78°F given the stable atmospheric pattern and absence of stronger advection.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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