**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime high of approximately 32°C today under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which is delivering drier air and partly sunny conditions across the region.** This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing toward 32–33°C at multiple stations, consistent with climatological norms for early September in Hong Kong. The market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 32°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus forecast from authoritative monitoring data. A realistic challenge would require significant afternoon cloud cover, localized showers, or a faster-than-expected monsoon shift that caps the maximum below the threshold, though model agreement and recent trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
32°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$158,068 ปริมาณ
$158,068 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.8%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$158,068 ปริมาณ
$158,068 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
25°C or below
$21,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$333 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$401 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$5,854 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$29,248 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$20,672 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$15,595 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$40,280 ปริมาณ
100%
33°C
$21,873 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$2,185 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C or higher
$223 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime high of approximately 32°C today under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which is delivering drier air and partly sunny conditions across the region.** This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing toward 32–33°C at multiple stations, consistent with climatological norms for early September in Hong Kong. The market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 32°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus forecast from authoritative monitoring data. A realistic challenge would require significant afternoon cloud cover, localized showers, or a faster-than-expected monsoon shift that caps the maximum below the threshold, though model agreement and recent trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$158,068วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime high of approximately 32°C today under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which is delivering drier air and partly sunny conditions across the region.** This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing toward 32–33°C at multiple stations, consistent with climatological norms for early September in Hong Kong. The market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 32°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus forecast from authoritative monitoring data. A realistic challenge would require significant afternoon cloud cover, localized showers, or a faster-than-expected monsoon shift that caps the maximum below the threshold, though model agreement and recent trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$158,068วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts project a daytime high of approximately 32°C today under the influence of the northeast monsoon, which is delivering drier air and partly sunny conditions across the region.** This aligns with current observations showing temperatures climbing toward 32–33°C at multiple stations, consistent with climatological norms for early September in Hong Kong. The market’s overwhelming 99.9% implied probability for 32°C reflects trader confidence in this consensus forecast from authoritative monitoring data. A realistic challenge would require significant afternoon cloud cover, localized showers, or a faster-than-expected monsoon shift that caps the maximum below the threshold, though model agreement and recent trends make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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