Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies indicate a daily high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, consistent with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability for that outcome and 20.5% for 33°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, including moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 65-70%, and scattered cloud cover with isolated showers, are limiting peak heating while preventing significant cooling. Observed morning readings in the upper 20s°C and hourly projections peaking in the low-to-mid 30s align with this narrow range, as typical September climatology shows averages around 31°C. Updated model runs through the day will determine whether any brief clearing pushes the maximum slightly higher before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 72%
33°C 29%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
$33,342 ปริมาณ
$33,342 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
72%
33°C
29%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 72%
33°C 29%
34°C 2%
35°C <1%
$33,342 ปริมาณ
$33,342 ปริมาณ
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$429 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,089 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,887 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$3,852 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$13,315 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$2,494 ปริมาณ
72%
33°C
$2,567 ปริมาณ
29%
34°C
$2,914 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C
$1,505 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$726 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,565 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies indicate a daily high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, consistent with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability for that outcome and 20.5% for 33°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, including moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 65-70%, and scattered cloud cover with isolated showers, are limiting peak heating while preventing significant cooling. Observed morning readings in the upper 20s°C and hourly projections peaking in the low-to-mid 30s align with this narrow range, as typical September climatology shows averages around 31°C. Updated model runs through the day will determine whether any brief clearing pushes the maximum slightly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,342วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies indicate a daily high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, consistent with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability for that outcome and 20.5% for 33°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, including moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 65-70%, and scattered cloud cover with isolated showers, are limiting peak heating while preventing significant cooling. Observed morning readings in the upper 20s°C and hourly projections peaking in the low-to-mid 30s align with this narrow range, as typical September climatology shows averages around 31°C. Updated model runs through the day will determine whether any brief clearing pushes the maximum slightly higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,342วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models and agencies indicate a daily high near 32°C in Shenzhen on September 9, consistent with the market's dominant 77.5% implied probability for that outcome and 20.5% for 33°C. Subtropical late-summer conditions, including moderate northeasterly flow, elevated humidity near 65-70%, and scattered cloud cover with isolated showers, are limiting peak heating while preventing significant cooling. Observed morning readings in the upper 20s°C and hourly projections peaking in the low-to-mid 30s align with this narrow range, as typical September climatology shows averages around 31°C. Updated model runs through the day will determine whether any brief clearing pushes the maximum slightly higher before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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