**Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, indicate a daytime high of 30–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible.** This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (33.5 %) and 32 °C (32.5 %), as cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and cap peak heating compared with clearer recent days. Subtropical moisture and light northeasterly winds further moderate temperatures, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover near 31 °C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows minor spread in maximum values depending on the timing and intensity of convective activity, creating the narrow probability split between the two leading outcomes while keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 10?
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
30°C 13%
33°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
34%
32°C
33%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
31°C 34%
32°C 33%
30°C 13%
33°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
34%
32°C
33%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C
3%
36°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, indicate a daytime high of 30–32 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered thunderstorms possible.** This range aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 31 °C (33.5 %) and 32 °C (32.5 %), as cloud cover and precipitation reduce incoming solar radiation and cap peak heating compared with clearer recent days. Subtropical moisture and light northeasterly winds further moderate temperatures, consistent with September climatology where average highs hover near 31 °C. Official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international models shows minor spread in maximum values depending on the timing and intensity of convective activity, creating the narrow probability split between the two leading outcomes while keeping lower and higher thresholds at single-digit odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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