**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services point to a September 11 minimum near 19–21°C in Istanbul under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure.** These conditions support typical radiative cooling overnight but are moderated by the urban heat island effect, proximity to the Sea of Marmara, and seasonal norms for early autumn. The closely matched market odds around the extremes versus the 19–22°C cluster reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or local measurement sites can alter the recorded minimum by 1–3°C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 11?
16°C or below 74%
26°C or higher 74%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
74%
17°C
40%
18°C
40%
19°C
22%
20°C
24%
21°C
25%
22°C
24%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
18%
26°C or higher
74%
16°C or below 74%
26°C or higher 74%
17°C 40%
18°C 40%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
74%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
40%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services point to a September 11 minimum near 19–21°C in Istanbul under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure.**
These conditions support typical radiative cooling overnight but are moderated by the urban heat island effect, proximity to the Sea of Marmara, and seasonal norms for early autumn. The closely matched market odds around the extremes versus the 19–22°C cluster reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or local measurement sites can alter the recorded minimum by 1–3°C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services point to a September 11 minimum near 19–21°C in Istanbul under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure.**
These conditions support typical radiative cooling overnight but are moderated by the urban heat island effect, proximity to the Sea of Marmara, and seasonal norms for early autumn. The closely matched market odds around the extremes versus the 19–22°C cluster reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or local measurement sites can alter the recorded minimum by 1–3°C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including ECMWF, GFS, and national meteorological services point to a September 11 minimum near 19–21°C in Istanbul under clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northeasterly winds, and high pressure.** These conditions support typical radiative cooling overnight but are moderated by the urban heat island effect, proximity to the Sea of Marmara, and seasonal norms for early autumn. The closely matched market odds around the extremes versus the 19–22°C cluster reflect genuine short-term uncertainty in exact overnight lows, as small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or local measurement sites can alter the recorded minimum by 1–3°C before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely narrow the range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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