**Forecast model consensus for Warsaw on September 10 centers on a maximum of 18–20 °C under increasing cloud cover and light westerly winds, producing the balanced 20 % odds across the 17–21 °C range.** Recent runs from European models show afternoon peaks near 19 °C after overnight lows around 15–17 °C, with scattered light rain or drizzle limiting solar heating. A shift from the current warm spell (highs near 26–30 °C on the 8th–9th) to cooler Atlantic air introduces modest spread in predicted maxima, as cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture remain variable. Historical September averages for the city hover near 16–18 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal yet below recent peaks. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of ensemble outputs and the absence of strong high-pressure development that could push readings higher. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
19°C 25%
20°C 25%
18°C 14%
21°C 14%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
14%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
19°C 25%
20°C 25%
18°C 14%
21°C 14%
15°C or below
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
14%
19°C
25%
20°C
25%
21°C
14%
22°C
3%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast model consensus for Warsaw on September 10 centers on a maximum of 18–20 °C under increasing cloud cover and light westerly winds, producing the balanced 20 % odds across the 17–21 °C range.** Recent runs from European models show afternoon peaks near 19 °C after overnight lows around 15–17 °C, with scattered light rain or drizzle limiting solar heating. A shift from the current warm spell (highs near 26–30 °C on the 8th–9th) to cooler Atlantic air introduces modest spread in predicted maxima, as cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture remain variable. Historical September averages for the city hover near 16–18 °C, so the current setup sits slightly above normal yet below recent peaks. Traders are weighting the tight clustering of ensemble outputs and the absence of strong high-pressure development that could push readings higher. Updated model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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