Traders see 18°C and 19°C as nearly even-money outcomes because official forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Service and numerical models show a daily maximum clustered in that narrow range for Buenos Aires on September 8. After a recent cold outbreak, northerly winds and building high pressure are advecting milder air under mostly clear skies, allowing strong daytime solar heating during early spring. Light winds limit mixing, while low humidity supports efficient warming, though afternoon cloud increases in some model runs could cap the peak near 18°C. The tight spread reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximum temperature tied to small differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer conditions, with new observational data from the afternoon expected to resolve the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
18°C 46%
19°C 38%
17°C 11%
16°C 3%
$11,318 ปริมาณ
$11,318 ปริมาณ
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
46%
19°C
38%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 46%
19°C 38%
17°C 11%
16°C 3%
$11,318 ปริมาณ
$11,318 ปริมาณ
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
46%
19°C
38%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 18°C and 19°C as nearly even-money outcomes because official forecasts from sources like the National Meteorological Service and numerical models show a daily maximum clustered in that narrow range for Buenos Aires on September 8. After a recent cold outbreak, northerly winds and building high pressure are advecting milder air under mostly clear skies, allowing strong daytime solar heating during early spring. Light winds limit mixing, while low humidity supports efficient warming, though afternoon cloud increases in some model runs could cap the peak near 18°C. The tight spread reflects genuine uncertainty in exact maximum temperature tied to small differences in timing of peak insolation and boundary-layer conditions, with new observational data from the afternoon expected to resolve the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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