Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 24–26°C daily maximum in Toronto on September 9, reflecting close alignment among official and ensemble forecasts amid unsettled conditions. Environment Canada projects a 24°C high with showers, while several GFS-based and private models indicate 23–24°C under southwest flow and elevated humidity. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key differentiators: widespread showers and thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours may suppress temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, yet any delay in storm development or stronger southerly advection could allow brief warming toward 26°C. Historical September averages near 22–23°C provide context, but the current setup shows modest uncertainty tied to model spread on convective timing. Resolution will depend on the final observed maximum reported by Environment Canada.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on September 9?
25°C 27%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
23°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
2%
25°C 27%
24°C 24%
26°C 22%
23°C 9%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
9%
24°C
24%
25°C
27%
26°C
22%
27°C
9%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to a 24–26°C daily maximum in Toronto on September 9, reflecting close alignment among official and ensemble forecasts amid unsettled conditions. Environment Canada projects a 24°C high with showers, while several GFS-based and private models indicate 23–24°C under southwest flow and elevated humidity. Cloud cover and precipitation timing are the key differentiators: widespread showers and thunderstorms expected during peak heating hours may suppress temperatures through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, yet any delay in storm development or stronger southerly advection could allow brief warming toward 26°C. Historical September averages near 22–23°C provide context, but the current setup shows modest uncertainty tied to model spread on convective timing. Resolution will depend on the final observed maximum reported by Environment Canada.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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