Recent northerly winds and building cloud cover from a passing frontal system have introduced cooler maritime air over the Yellow Sea region, moderating peak temperatures for September 10 in Qingdao. Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on daytime highs of 25–28°C under mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C average maxima and limited potential for strong warming. These atmospheric steering patterns and the absence of subtropical ridge influence position the 33°C-or-higher bin at the 50% market-implied level as a reflection of trader weighting for any late-model shifts or localized heating anomalies, while lower bins capture the consensus guidance. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on verified maximum observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 10?
28°C 24%
27°C 22%
31°C 18%
30°C 17%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
22%
28°C
24%
29°C
15%
30°C
17%
31°C
18%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
11%
28°C 24%
27°C 22%
31°C 18%
30°C 17%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
16%
27°C
22%
28°C
24%
29°C
15%
30°C
17%
31°C
18%
32°C
9%
33°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds and building cloud cover from a passing frontal system have introduced cooler maritime air over the Yellow Sea region, moderating peak temperatures for September 10 in Qingdao. Official forecasts from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international models converge on daytime highs of 25–28°C under mostly cloudy conditions, consistent with September climatology of 25–26°C average maxima and limited potential for strong warming. These atmospheric steering patterns and the absence of subtropical ridge influence position the 33°C-or-higher bin at the 50% market-implied level as a reflection of trader weighting for any late-model shifts or localized heating anomalies, while lower bins capture the consensus guidance. Updated short-range model runs and official briefings expected in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points for resolution criteria based on verified maximum observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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