**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official monitoring points to a daily maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5% and 41.5% implied probability.** Partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical early-September insolation under a stable pressure pattern are limiting daytime heating near the long-term average high of roughly 19.7°C. Multiple model runs show peak temperatures occurring in the mid-afternoon, with minimal risk of exceeding 21°C or falling below 18°C given current steering flow and lack of strong advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering of guidance around these two values, with limited volatility expected unless a late forecast update alters cloud or wind details before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 10?
19°C 54%
20°C 42%
18°C 4%
21°C 4%
ใหม่
$15,281 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,281 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
54%
20°C
42%
21°C
4%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 54%
20°C 42%
18°C 4%
21°C 4%
ใหม่
$15,281 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,281 ปริมาณ
Sep 10, 2026
14°C or below
$398 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$267 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$276 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$1,107 ปริมาณ
1%
18°C
$1,680 ปริมาณ
4%
19°C
$4,871 ปริมาณ
54%
20°C
$3,684 ปริมาณ
42%
21°C
$1,868 ปริมาณ
4%
22°C
$333 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$274 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C or higher
$525 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official monitoring points to a daily maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5% and 41.5% implied probability.**
Partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical early-September insolation under a stable pressure pattern are limiting daytime heating near the long-term average high of roughly 19.7°C. Multiple model runs show peak temperatures occurring in the mid-afternoon, with minimal risk of exceeding 21°C or falling below 18°C given current steering flow and lack of strong advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering of guidance around these two values, with limited volatility expected unless a late forecast update alters cloud or wind details before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,281วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official monitoring points to a daily maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5% and 41.5% implied probability.**
Partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical early-September insolation under a stable pressure pattern are limiting daytime heating near the long-term average high of roughly 19.7°C. Multiple model runs show peak temperatures occurring in the mid-afternoon, with minimal risk of exceeding 21°C or falling below 18°C given current steering flow and lack of strong advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering of guidance around these two values, with limited volatility expected unless a late forecast update alters cloud or wind details before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,281วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models and official monitoring points to a daily maximum of 19–20°C in Amsterdam on September 10, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading outcomes at 53.5% and 41.5% implied probability.** Partly cloudy skies, moderate southwesterly winds, and typical early-September insolation under a stable pressure pattern are limiting daytime heating near the long-term average high of roughly 19.7°C. Multiple model runs show peak temperatures occurring in the mid-afternoon, with minimal risk of exceeding 21°C or falling below 18°C given current steering flow and lack of strong advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight clustering of guidance around these two values, with limited volatility expected unless a late forecast update alters cloud or wind details before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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