Recent cold air advection combined with widespread rainfall has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, shifting trader focus to a tight contest between 22°C and 23°C highs for September 10. Official forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and precipitation that will limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima, with northerly winds further enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a maximum near 22–23°C under overcast, rainy conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could tip the outcome. This represents a substantial departure from early-September peaks near 33–34°C and aligns with the lower end of typical late-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin. Updated numerical guidance and local observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
12%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
18%
25°C
8%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 27%
22°C 26%
24°C 18%
21°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
18°C or below
$50 ปริมาณ
3%
19°C
$582 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$268 ปริมาณ
5%
21°C
$193 ปริมาณ
12%
22°C
$161 ปริมาณ
26%
23°C
$23 ปริมาณ
27%
24°C
$139 ปริมาณ
18%
25°C
$413 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C
$60 ปริมาณ
3%
27°C
$311 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C or higher
$375 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection combined with widespread rainfall has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, shifting trader focus to a tight contest between 22°C and 23°C highs for September 10. Official forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and precipitation that will limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima, with northerly winds further enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a maximum near 22–23°C under overcast, rainy conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could tip the outcome. This represents a substantial departure from early-September peaks near 33–34°C and aligns with the lower end of typical late-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin. Updated numerical guidance and local observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,576วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold air advection combined with widespread rainfall has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, shifting trader focus to a tight contest between 22°C and 23°C highs for September 10. Official forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and precipitation that will limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima, with northerly winds further enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a maximum near 22–23°C under overcast, rainy conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could tip the outcome. This represents a substantial departure from early-September peaks near 33–34°C and aligns with the lower end of typical late-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin. Updated numerical guidance and local observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,576วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air advection combined with widespread rainfall has driven a sharp cooldown in Chengdu, shifting trader focus to a tight contest between 22°C and 23°C highs for September 10. Official forecasts highlight persistent cloud cover and precipitation that will limit solar heating and suppress daytime maxima, with northerly winds further enhancing evaporative cooling. Model consensus points to a maximum near 22–23°C under overcast, rainy conditions, though slight variations in rainfall timing or intensity could tip the outcome. This represents a substantial departure from early-September peaks near 33–34°C and aligns with the lower end of typical late-summer variability in the Sichuan Basin. Updated numerical guidance and local observations will refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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